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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.13+2.12vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.74+3.83vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.53-0.52vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.27+0.72vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame0.86+0.64vs Predicted
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6Washington University0.67+0.01vs Predicted
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7William and Mary1.20-2.21vs Predicted
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8University of Chicago-1.32+1.89vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan-1.18-1.29vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan0.51-6.70vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University-1.01-4.50vs Predicted
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15University of Notre Dame-1.35-4.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
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5.83University of Wisconsin0.740.1%1st Place
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2.48University of Minnesota2.530.4%1st Place
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4.72University of Wisconsin1.270.1%1st Place
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5.64University of Notre Dame0.860.1%1st Place
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6.01Washington University0.670.1%1st Place
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4.79William and Mary1.200.1%1st Place
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9.89University of Chicago-1.320.0%1st Place
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9.71University of Michigan-1.180.0%1st Place
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6.3University of Michigan0.510.1%1st Place
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9.5Northwestern University-1.010.0%1st Place
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10.02University of Notre Dame-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Kent | 21.6% | 23.2% | 18.5% | 15.1% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Walter | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 9.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Wheeler Morris | 35.4% | 24.7% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Jamieson | 9.0% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christian Koerwer | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Cohen | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Megan McMahon | 9.5% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Katy Carlyle | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 22.1% | 29.4% |
| Zachary Frankel | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 22.6% | 22.7% | 21.3% |
| Ryan Davidson | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Tehranchi | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 14.2% | 19.9% | 23.2% | 18.6% |
| Alex Jones | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 18.9% | 23.9% | 29.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.