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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.41+6.10vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.51+5.37vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.79+5.00vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.90+9.11vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.64+5.19vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+0.69vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.42-0.46vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.19-0.07vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.97-0.10vs Predicted
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10Catholic University of America1.31+1.16vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.50+0.84vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.60-2.16vs Predicted
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13Stanford University1.56-3.10vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.39-3.10vs Predicted
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15University of Miami0.58-0.76vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.89-6.48vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.86-7.55vs Predicted
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18Tulane University2.08-9.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.1Georgetown University2.419.4%1st Place
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7.37SUNY Maritime College2.517.8%1st Place
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8.0Boston University1.797.0%1st Place
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13.11University of South Florida0.901.9%1st Place
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10.19U. S. Naval Academy1.643.7%1st Place
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6.69St. Mary's College of Maryland2.659.2%1st Place
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6.54University of Pennsylvania2.4210.6%1st Place
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7.93George Washington University2.197.4%1st Place
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8.9College of Charleston1.975.7%1st Place
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11.16Catholic University of America1.313.3%1st Place
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11.84Tufts University1.502.2%1st Place
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9.84University of Wisconsin1.605.7%1st Place
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9.9Stanford University1.564.5%1st Place
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10.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.393.9%1st Place
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14.24University of Miami0.581.1%1st Place
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9.52Fordham University1.894.9%1st Place
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9.45Roger Williams University1.866.0%1st Place
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8.31Tulane University2.085.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Mais | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 21.3% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.1% |
| Leo Boucher | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Bruce | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Anthony Minder | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Max Anker | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| John McKenna | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% |
| Connor Sheridan | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 2.8% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| Michael Pinto | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 32.3% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Grant Gridley | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Marcus Huttunen | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.