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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.53+1.47vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.13+1.10vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.86+2.64vs Predicted
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5William and Mary1.20-0.10vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.27-1.28vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.74-1.13vs Predicted
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8Washington University0.67-2.06vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-1.01-0.65vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan0.51-4.74vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan-1.18-3.36vs Predicted
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15University of Notre Dame-1.35-4.95vs Predicted
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17University of Chicago-1.32-6.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47University of Minnesota2.530.3%1st Place
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3.1University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
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5.64University of Notre Dame0.860.1%1st Place
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4.9William and Mary1.200.1%1st Place
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4.72University of Wisconsin1.270.1%1st Place
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5.87University of Wisconsin0.740.1%1st Place
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5.94Washington University0.670.1%1st Place
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9.35Northwestern University-1.010.0%1st Place
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6.26University of Michigan0.510.0%1st Place
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9.64University of Michigan-1.180.0%1st Place
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10.05University of Notre Dame-1.350.0%1st Place
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10.05University of Chicago-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wheeler Morris | 33.7% | 26.6% | 18.2% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 23.1% | 22.6% | 17.8% | 14.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Koerwer | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Megan McMahon | 7.5% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Jamieson | 10.1% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Walter | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Theodore Cohen | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Tehranchi | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 13.3% | 22.2% | 22.5% | 16.0% |
| Ryan Davidson | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 11.8% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Frankel | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 13.9% | 22.5% | 19.8% | 23.1% |
| Alex Jones | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 10.3% | 16.5% | 26.1% | 29.8% |
| Katy Carlyle | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 12.7% | 16.3% | 24.9% | 30.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.