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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.13+2.17vs Predicted
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2Washington University0.67+4.00vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.51+3.30vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.27+0.73vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota2.53-2.51vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.74-0.17vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame0.86-1.46vs Predicted
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10William and Mary1.20-5.23vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame-1.35-1.00vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-1.01-2.63vs Predicted
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14University of Chicago-1.32-3.98vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan-1.18-5.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
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6.0Washington University0.670.0%1st Place
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6.3University of Michigan0.510.1%1st Place
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4.73University of Wisconsin1.270.1%1st Place
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2.49University of Minnesota2.530.4%1st Place
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5.83University of Wisconsin0.740.1%1st Place
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5.54University of Notre Dame0.860.1%1st Place
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4.77William and Mary1.200.1%1st Place
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10.0University of Notre Dame-1.350.0%1st Place
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9.37Northwestern University-1.010.0%1st Place
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10.02University of Chicago-1.320.0%1st Place
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9.77University of Michigan-1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Kent | 21.0% | 20.3% | 20.9% | 16.0% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Cohen | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Davidson | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 17.7% | 13.6% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Jamieson | 8.3% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Wheeler Morris | 35.5% | 24.5% | 16.9% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Walter | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Christian Koerwer | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Megan McMahon | 9.9% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Alex Jones | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 11.0% | 19.7% | 24.4% | 27.2% |
| Cameron Tehranchi | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 15.4% | 21.2% | 21.5% | 17.2% |
| Katy Carlyle | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 19.1% | 23.2% | 29.9% |
| Zachary Frankel | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 14.2% | 19.5% | 22.4% | 24.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.