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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.41+6.12vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.08+6.50vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+3.70vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.19+3.86vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.51+2.35vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America1.31+5.27vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.02+2.18vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.79-0.20vs Predicted
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9Stanford University1.56+1.23vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.42-3.24vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.64-0.70vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.86-2.55vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.97-4.20vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.39-2.99vs Predicted
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15University of Miami0.58-0.76vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.89-6.54vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.50-5.29vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.90-4.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.12Georgetown University2.418.1%1st Place
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8.5Tulane University2.086.6%1st Place
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6.7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6510.5%1st Place
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7.86George Washington University2.198.1%1st Place
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7.35SUNY Maritime College2.518.5%1st Place
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11.27Catholic University of America1.312.9%1st Place
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9.18University of Wisconsin2.025.7%1st Place
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7.8Boston University1.797.8%1st Place
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10.23Stanford University1.563.2%1st Place
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6.76University of Pennsylvania2.429.2%1st Place
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10.3U. S. Naval Academy1.644.1%1st Place
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9.45Roger Williams University1.864.8%1st Place
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8.8College of Charleston1.975.3%1st Place
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11.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.393.7%1st Place
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14.24University of Miami0.581.7%1st Place
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9.46Fordham University1.895.1%1st Place
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11.71Tufts University1.503.0%1st Place
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13.25University of South Florida0.901.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Mais | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Marcus Huttunen | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Leo Boucher | 10.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Anthony Minder | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| John McKenna | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 7.5% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Jordan Bruce | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
| Max Anker | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Michael Pinto | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 14.6% | 33.1% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Connor Sheridan | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.2% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.