Race 6B

northwest-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Alison Kent 22.2% 20.4% 19.9% 15.2% 10.9% 5.1% 3.4% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Wheeler Morris 32.2% 28.8% 17.1% 10.4% 6.8% 3.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Theodore Cohen 5.3% 6.0% 7.7% 10.6% 10.8% 12.5% 15.5% 15.0% 10.9% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3%
Ryan Davidson 3.6% 5.4% 6.7% 10.9% 10.3% 12.6% 14.5% 15.0% 11.1% 6.9% 2.5% 0.5%
Nathan Jamieson 9.8% 10.6% 13.3% 14.3% 14.3% 13.2% 12.0% 6.1% 4.7% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Ian Walter 6.2% 7.3% 7.5% 8.5% 12.5% 13.6% 14.5% 14.0% 10.0% 4.7% 0.9% 0.3%
Megan McMahon 10.4% 10.3% 13.1% 13.9% 13.0% 14.0% 9.7% 8.5% 4.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
Alex Jones 0.7% 0.8% 1.2% 1.3% 2.4% 3.3% 4.1% 5.6% 10.8% 17.1% 22.1% 30.6%
Zachary Frankel 1.0% 0.8% 1.3% 1.4% 1.5% 2.3% 4.1% 8.3% 13.3% 21.8% 22.9% 21.3%
Christian Koerwer 6.9% 7.3% 10.1% 10.6% 13.4% 13.7% 12.9% 12.2% 8.9% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
Cameron Tehranchi 1.1% 1.3% 1.0% 1.4% 2.1% 3.8% 5.1% 7.3% 14.8% 19.5% 24.3% 18.3%
Katy Carlyle 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 1.5% 2.0% 2.7% 3.1% 5.3% 10.6% 19.4% 24.4% 28.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.