← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1SUNY Maritime College2.51+6.18vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania2.42+4.80vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University1.56+7.12vs Predicted
-
4Catholic University of America1.31+7.16vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University1.86+4.55vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.50+5.83vs Predicted
-
7Tulane University2.08+1.51vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University2.41-0.93vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-2.36vs Predicted
-
10Boston University1.79-2.09vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.39+0.05vs Predicted
-
12University of Miami0.58+2.06vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University1.89-3.48vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University2.19-6.00vs Predicted
-
15University of South Florida0.90-1.61vs Predicted
-
16College of Charleston1.97-7.25vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Naval Academy1.64-6.77vs Predicted
-
18University of Wisconsin2.02-8.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.18SUNY Maritime College2.518.7%1st Place
-
6.8University of Pennsylvania2.428.9%1st Place
-
10.12Stanford University1.564.9%1st Place
-
11.16Catholic University of America1.313.3%1st Place
-
9.55Roger Williams University1.865.4%1st Place
-
11.83Tufts University1.502.9%1st Place
-
8.51Tulane University2.086.4%1st Place
-
7.07Georgetown University2.418.9%1st Place
-
6.64St. Mary's College of Maryland2.659.0%1st Place
-
7.91Boston University1.797.5%1st Place
-
11.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.393.6%1st Place
-
14.06University of Miami0.581.3%1st Place
-
9.52Fordham University1.895.0%1st Place
-
8.0George Washington University2.197.0%1st Place
-
13.39University of South Florida0.901.9%1st Place
-
8.75College of Charleston1.975.7%1st Place
-
10.23U. S. Naval Academy1.644.9%1st Place
-
9.23University of Wisconsin2.024.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton Amthor | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 3.6% |
| John McKenna | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.8% |
| Grant Gridley | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Connor Sheridan | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.4% |
| Marcus Huttunen | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Scott Mais | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Leo Boucher | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Michael Pinto | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.9% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 32.6% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Anthony Minder | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 21.9% |
| Max Anker | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.