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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.53+1.53vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.13+1.16vs Predicted
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3Washington University0.67+3.04vs Predicted
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4William and Mary1.20+0.91vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.74+0.89vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame1.12-0.94vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan0.51-0.71vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.27-4.35vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-1.01-1.68vs Predicted
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13University of Notre Dame-1.35-3.17vs Predicted
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16University of Chicago-1.89-5.29vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-1.18-7.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53University of Minnesota2.530.3%1st Place
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3.16University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
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6.04Washington University0.670.1%1st Place
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4.91William and Mary1.200.1%1st Place
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5.89University of Wisconsin0.740.1%1st Place
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5.06University of Notre Dame1.120.1%1st Place
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6.29University of Michigan0.510.0%1st Place
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4.65University of Wisconsin1.270.1%1st Place
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9.32Northwestern University-1.010.0%1st Place
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9.83University of Notre Dame-1.350.0%1st Place
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10.71University of Chicago-1.890.0%1st Place
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9.62University of Michigan-1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wheeler Morris | 31.7% | 26.1% | 18.9% | 12.5% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 21.8% | 22.9% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Cohen | 6.4% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Megan McMahon | 7.4% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Walter | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| John Schneider | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Davidson | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Jamieson | 10.9% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Tehranchi | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 17.9% | 24.0% | 21.5% | 11.7% |
| Alex Jones | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 12.5% | 20.1% | 26.9% | 21.9% |
| Alexander Slajus | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 13.5% | 21.0% | 48.6% |
| Zachary Frankel | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 7.5% | 15.5% | 23.0% | 23.6% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.