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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.41+5.99vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.19+5.94vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+3.65vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.39+6.96vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.64+5.26vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America1.31+5.21vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.86+2.44vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.08+0.40vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.51-1.69vs Predicted
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10Stanford University1.56+0.07vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.79-3.16vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.97-3.08vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida0.90+0.32vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.50-2.23vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.02-5.91vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.42-9.17vs Predicted
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17University of Miami0.58-2.69vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.89-8.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99Georgetown University2.4110.1%1st Place
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7.94George Washington University2.197.4%1st Place
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6.65St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6510.0%1st Place
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10.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.393.4%1st Place
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10.26U. S. Naval Academy1.643.5%1st Place
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11.21Catholic University of America1.313.2%1st Place
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9.44Roger Williams University1.865.3%1st Place
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8.4Tulane University2.086.7%1st Place
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7.31SUNY Maritime College2.517.8%1st Place
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10.07Stanford University1.564.3%1st Place
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7.84Boston University1.798.6%1st Place
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8.92College of Charleston1.975.8%1st Place
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13.32University of South Florida0.901.1%1st Place
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11.77Tufts University1.502.9%1st Place
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9.09University of Wisconsin2.025.9%1st Place
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6.83University of Pennsylvania2.428.8%1st Place
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14.31University of Miami0.581.1%1st Place
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9.68Fordham University1.894.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Mais | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Anthony Minder | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Leo Boucher | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Michael Pinto | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 5.6% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
| John McKenna | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% |
| Grant Gridley | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Marcus Huttunen | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Benton Amthor | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 3.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Max Anker | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 22.9% |
| Connor Sheridan | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Jordan Bruce | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 16.0% | 32.9% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.