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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.53+1.54vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame1.12+3.09vs Predicted
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3William and Mary1.20+1.88vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota2.13-0.86vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.74+0.95vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-1.18+3.60vs Predicted
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7Washington University0.67-1.05vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.27-3.31vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame-1.35-0.17vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan0.51-4.70vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University-1.01-4.62vs Predicted
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17University of Chicago-1.89-6.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54University of Minnesota2.530.3%1st Place
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5.09University of Notre Dame1.120.1%1st Place
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4.88William and Mary1.200.1%1st Place
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3.14University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
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5.95University of Wisconsin0.740.1%1st Place
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9.6University of Michigan-1.180.0%1st Place
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5.95Washington University0.670.1%1st Place
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4.69University of Wisconsin1.270.1%1st Place
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9.83University of Notre Dame-1.350.0%1st Place
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6.3University of Michigan0.510.0%1st Place
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9.38Northwestern University-1.010.0%1st Place
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10.66University of Chicago-1.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wheeler Morris | 31.4% | 26.3% | 18.5% | 12.3% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Schneider | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Megan McMahon | 10.0% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 21.0% | 22.8% | 19.5% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Walter | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Frankel | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 12.9% | 21.8% | 26.9% | 16.7% |
| Theodore Cohen | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Jamieson | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jones | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 14.7% | 21.3% | 26.5% | 19.6% |
| Ryan Davidson | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 17.7% | 12.5% | 6.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Tehranchi | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 9.1% | 16.9% | 22.9% | 20.2% | 15.3% |
| Alexander Slajus | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 14.0% | 20.9% | 47.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.