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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.51+6.56vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.97+6.63vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.86+6.46vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.50+7.74vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.08+3.43vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.41+1.05vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-0.17vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.64+2.15vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.79-1.13vs Predicted
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10Catholic University of America1.31+1.16vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.42-4.27vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.89-2.56vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.19-5.11vs Predicted
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14Stanford University1.56-3.83vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.39-3.96vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.02-6.67vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida0.90-3.68vs Predicted
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18University of Miami0.58-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.56SUNY Maritime College2.519.2%1st Place
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8.63College of Charleston1.976.8%1st Place
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9.46Roger Williams University1.865.3%1st Place
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11.74Tufts University1.502.2%1st Place
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8.43Tulane University2.086.2%1st Place
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7.05Georgetown University2.419.7%1st Place
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6.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.658.7%1st Place
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10.15U. S. Naval Academy1.644.2%1st Place
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7.87Boston University1.797.8%1st Place
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11.16Catholic University of America1.312.6%1st Place
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6.73University of Pennsylvania2.429.7%1st Place
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9.44Fordham University1.894.1%1st Place
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7.89George Washington University2.197.2%1st Place
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10.17Stanford University1.564.0%1st Place
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11.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.393.6%1st Place
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9.33University of Wisconsin2.025.1%1st Place
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13.32University of South Florida0.901.8%1st Place
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14.2University of Miami0.581.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton Amthor | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Max Anker | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Grant Gridley | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Connor Sheridan | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 10.3% |
| Marcus Huttunen | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Scott Mais | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Leo Boucher | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| John McKenna | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% |
| Jordan Bruce | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Anthony Minder | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Michael Pinto | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.7% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 21.4% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.