Race 1A

occ-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Griffin Orr 29.5% 23.3% 16.9% 13.1% 8.5% 5.1% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Bill Parker 7.3% 10.4% 10.3% 13.0% 15.6% 14.7% 13.4% 10.1% 5.2%
Paul Stevens 18.2% 16.4% 17.8% 13.9% 13.7% 9.4% 7.1% 2.7% 0.8%
David Alldian 8.3% 8.9% 11.2% 12.7% 10.7% 14.7% 15.0% 11.9% 6.6%
Ted Wingender 5.3% 7.1% 7.4% 10.6% 8.1% 11.5% 15.3% 18.9% 15.8%
Chris Myers 12.6% 13.9% 16.3% 13.8% 14.8% 11.8% 9.2% 5.7% 1.9%
Caroline Garth 10.9% 13.2% 11.7% 13.7% 15.7% 14.3% 10.2% 8.2% 2.1%
Laura Maranto 4.5% 3.9% 5.5% 5.3% 8.0% 10.2% 15.3% 23.6% 23.7%
Eliza Crawford 3.4% 2.9% 2.9% 3.9% 4.9% 8.3% 11.7% 18.2% 43.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.