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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+5.68vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.42+4.62vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.41+4.08vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America1.31+7.33vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.51+2.35vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.50+5.37vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.89+2.60vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.64+2.37vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.08-0.37vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin2.02-0.89vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.39+0.17vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida0.90+1.32vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.97-4.20vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.19-6.24vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.86-5.30vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.79-8.24vs Predicted
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17Stanford University1.56-6.89vs Predicted
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18University of Miami0.58-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68St. Mary's College of Maryland2.659.7%1st Place
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6.62University of Pennsylvania2.429.6%1st Place
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7.08Georgetown University2.418.3%1st Place
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11.33Catholic University of America1.313.6%1st Place
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7.35SUNY Maritime College2.518.8%1st Place
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11.37Tufts University1.503.4%1st Place
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9.6Fordham University1.895.1%1st Place
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10.37U. S. Naval Academy1.644.1%1st Place
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8.63Tulane University2.085.7%1st Place
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9.11University of Wisconsin2.025.9%1st Place
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11.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.392.9%1st Place
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13.32University of South Florida0.901.7%1st Place
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8.8College of Charleston1.975.5%1st Place
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7.76George Washington University2.198.2%1st Place
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9.7Roger Williams University1.864.7%1st Place
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7.76Boston University1.798.2%1st Place
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10.11Stanford University1.563.3%1st Place
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14.26University of Miami0.581.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Bruce | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Scott Mais | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| John McKenna | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Connor Sheridan | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% |
| Marcus Huttunen | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Michael Pinto | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 5.9% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 16.4% | 21.6% |
| Max Anker | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| Anthony Minder | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 14.7% | 32.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.