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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.42+5.57vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.41+5.11vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+3.73vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.08+4.62vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.51+2.39vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.86+3.38vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America1.31+4.40vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.19-0.21vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.02+0.12vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.97-1.25vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.50+0.91vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.89-2.60vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.64-2.80vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida0.90-0.66vs Predicted
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15Stanford University1.56-4.90vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.39-4.99vs Predicted
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17University of Miami0.58-2.68vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.79-10.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.57University of Pennsylvania2.4210.4%1st Place
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7.11Georgetown University2.418.9%1st Place
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6.73St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6510.7%1st Place
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8.62Tulane University2.085.1%1st Place
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7.39SUNY Maritime College2.518.5%1st Place
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9.38Roger Williams University1.864.3%1st Place
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11.4Catholic University of America1.312.9%1st Place
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7.79George Washington University2.197.7%1st Place
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9.12University of Wisconsin2.024.9%1st Place
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8.75College of Charleston1.976.6%1st Place
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11.91Tufts University1.502.3%1st Place
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9.4Fordham University1.895.0%1st Place
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10.2U. S. Naval Academy1.644.7%1st Place
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13.34University of South Florida0.902.2%1st Place
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10.1Stanford University1.563.6%1st Place
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11.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.393.5%1st Place
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14.32University of Miami0.581.1%1st Place
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7.86Boston University1.797.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Bruce | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Scott Mais | 8.9% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Leo Boucher | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Marcus Huttunen | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| John McKenna | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% |
| Anthony Minder | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Christian Spencer | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Max Anker | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Connor Sheridan | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 9.2% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 22.1% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Michael Pinto | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 6.1% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 15.2% | 33.9% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.