← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Buffalo2.44+1.78vs Predicted
-
2William and Mary1.37+2.90vs Predicted
-
3Monmouth University1.95+0.63vs Predicted
-
4Ocean County College0.70+1.93vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania1.49-0.62vs Predicted
-
6Villanova University1.15-0.82vs Predicted
-
7Columbia University0.40-0.33vs Predicted
-
8Drexel University1.64-3.75vs Predicted
-
9Penn State University-0.01-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.78University of Buffalo2.440.3%1st Place
-
4.9William and Mary1.370.1%1st Place
-
3.63Monmouth University1.950.2%1st Place
-
5.93Ocean County College0.700.1%1st Place
-
4.38University of Pennsylvania1.490.1%1st Place
-
5.18Villanova University1.150.1%1st Place
-
6.67Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
-
4.25Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
-
7.3Penn State University-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Orr | 29.1% | 23.7% | 17.5% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Bill Parker | 7.1% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 3.7% |
| Paul Stevens | 18.4% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Ted Wingender | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 16.3% | 19.0% | 13.5% |
| Caroline Garth | 11.6% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 4.0% |
| David Alldian | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 7.7% |
| Laura Maranto | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 23.6% | 24.2% |
| Chris Myers | 14.0% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 15.9% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
| Eliza Crawford | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 19.0% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.