Race 3A

occ-spring-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Griffin Orr 29.2% 24.1% 16.4% 14.4% 8.0% 4.1% 3.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Bill Parker 7.0% 9.6% 12.8% 12.9% 15.6% 14.7% 13.4% 8.7% 5.3%
Chris Myers 12.3% 13.4% 14.9% 13.5% 15.0% 12.7% 10.1% 6.7% 1.4%
David Alldian 8.4% 8.8% 10.9% 13.1% 12.5% 13.9% 13.9% 11.1% 7.4%
Paul Stevens 19.7% 19.9% 16.0% 11.9% 11.7% 9.6% 6.1% 4.2% 0.9%
Ted Wingender 5.3% 5.6% 7.7% 8.1% 9.7% 13.5% 17.6% 17.4% 15.1%
Caroline Garth 11.1% 11.6% 12.3% 16.5% 14.6% 12.6% 10.0% 8.8% 2.5%
Eliza Crawford 3.0% 2.7% 3.2% 4.7% 5.4% 8.1% 10.2% 19.6% 43.1%
Laura Maranto 4.0% 4.3% 5.8% 4.9% 7.5% 10.8% 15.5% 22.9% 24.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.