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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.41+6.18vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+4.83vs Predicted
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3Catholic University of America1.31+8.28vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.51+3.25vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.42+1.70vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.08+2.44vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.79+0.87vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.19-0.06vs Predicted
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9Stanford University1.56+1.08vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin2.02-0.80vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.64-0.90vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.86-2.59vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.50-1.20vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.97-5.30vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida0.90-1.75vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.39-4.88vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.89-7.40vs Predicted
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18University of Miami0.58-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.18Georgetown University2.4110.3%1st Place
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6.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.659.4%1st Place
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11.28Catholic University of America1.312.6%1st Place
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7.25SUNY Maritime College2.518.9%1st Place
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6.7University of Pennsylvania2.429.1%1st Place
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8.44Tulane University2.087.0%1st Place
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7.87Boston University1.796.9%1st Place
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7.94George Washington University2.196.7%1st Place
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10.08Stanford University1.564.7%1st Place
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9.2University of Wisconsin2.025.2%1st Place
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10.1U. S. Naval Academy1.644.0%1st Place
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9.41Roger Williams University1.865.7%1st Place
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11.8Tufts University1.503.1%1st Place
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8.7College of Charleston1.975.5%1st Place
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13.25University of South Florida0.901.7%1st Place
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11.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.393.5%1st Place
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9.6Fordham University1.894.5%1st Place
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14.25University of Miami0.581.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Mais | 10.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Leo Boucher | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| John McKenna | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.8% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Bruce | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Marcus Huttunen | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Anthony Minder | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.4% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Grant Gridley | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Connor Sheridan | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 9.9% |
| Max Anker | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 20.2% |
| Michael Pinto | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 33.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.