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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Buffalo2.44+1.79vs Predicted
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2William and Mary1.37+2.95vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University1.95+0.62vs Predicted
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4Drexel University1.64+0.10vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.49-0.61vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-0.01+1.26vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.15-1.79vs Predicted
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8Ocean County College0.70-1.96vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.40-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79University of Buffalo2.440.3%1st Place
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4.95William and Mary1.370.1%1st Place
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3.62Monmouth University1.950.2%1st Place
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4.1Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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4.39University of Pennsylvania1.490.1%1st Place
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7.26Penn State University-0.010.0%1st Place
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5.21Villanova University1.150.1%1st Place
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6.04Ocean County College0.700.1%1st Place
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6.64Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Orr | 29.2% | 23.6% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Bill Parker | 7.0% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 4.8% |
| Paul Stevens | 18.1% | 16.5% | 17.4% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Chris Myers | 13.6% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Caroline Garth | 11.7% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% |
| Eliza Crawford | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 11.7% | 22.8% | 39.4% |
| David Alldian | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 16.8% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 6.9% |
| Ted Wingender | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 18.0% | 16.6% |
| Laura Maranto | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 22.4% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.