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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Buffalo2.44+1.76vs Predicted
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2William and Mary1.37+2.94vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.49+1.51vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College0.70+1.99vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.15+0.07vs Predicted
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6Columbia University0.40+0.66vs Predicted
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7Drexel University1.64-2.79vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-0.01-0.73vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University1.95-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76University of Buffalo2.440.3%1st Place
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4.94William and Mary1.370.1%1st Place
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4.51University of Pennsylvania1.490.1%1st Place
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5.99Ocean County College0.700.0%1st Place
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5.07Villanova University1.150.1%1st Place
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6.66Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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4.21Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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7.27Penn State University-0.010.0%1st Place
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3.59Monmouth University1.950.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Orr | 29.9% | 22.7% | 18.2% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Bill Parker | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 4.5% |
| Caroline Garth | 10.7% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 1.7% |
| Ted Wingender | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 16.7% |
| David Alldian | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 7.5% |
| Laura Maranto | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 23.2% | 24.2% |
| Chris Myers | 12.9% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| Eliza Crawford | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 18.5% | 42.5% |
| Paul Stevens | 18.9% | 17.2% | 16.3% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.