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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+5.55vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.64+8.12vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.41+3.96vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.51+3.34vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.86+4.56vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.79+1.93vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.08+1.40vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.58+6.38vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.89+0.50vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin2.02-0.87vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida0.90+2.38vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.89-2.93vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.50-1.55vs Predicted
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14Catholic University of America1.31-2.69vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.42-8.48vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston1.97-7.11vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.39-6.31vs Predicted
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18Stanford University1.56-8.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55St. Mary's College of Maryland2.659.3%1st Place
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10.12U. S. Naval Academy1.644.5%1st Place
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6.96Georgetown University2.418.1%1st Place
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7.34SUNY Maritime College2.518.6%1st Place
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9.56Roger Williams University1.864.2%1st Place
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7.93Boston University1.797.0%1st Place
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8.4Tulane University2.086.6%1st Place
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14.38University of Miami0.581.4%1st Place
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9.5Fordham University1.895.4%1st Place
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9.13University of Wisconsin2.025.3%1st Place
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13.38University of South Florida0.901.6%1st Place
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9.07George Washington University1.895.7%1st Place
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11.45Tufts University1.503.0%1st Place
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11.31Catholic University of America1.313.6%1st Place
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6.52University of Pennsylvania2.4211.2%1st Place
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8.89College of Charleston1.975.5%1st Place
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10.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.394.0%1st Place
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9.82Stanford University1.565.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.3% |
| Scott Mais | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Marcus Huttunen | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 15.2% | 35.1% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 16.0% | 20.9% |
| Matthew Priebe | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Connor Sheridan | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% |
| John McKenna | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.0% |
| Jordan Bruce | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Max Anker | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Michael Pinto | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.2% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.