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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+5.65vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.51+5.24vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.97+5.89vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.64+6.03vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.08+3.35vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.89+3.55vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.41+0.12vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin2.02+1.07vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America1.31+2.25vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.42-3.34vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida0.90+2.15vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.86-2.57vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.89-4.03vs Predicted
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14University of Miami0.58+0.18vs Predicted
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15Stanford University1.56-4.97vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.79-8.18vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.39-6.19vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.50-6.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65St. Mary's College of Maryland2.658.9%1st Place
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7.24SUNY Maritime College2.518.8%1st Place
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8.89College of Charleston1.976.2%1st Place
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10.03U. S. Naval Academy1.645.0%1st Place
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8.35Tulane University2.086.9%1st Place
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9.55Fordham University1.895.0%1st Place
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7.12Georgetown University2.419.1%1st Place
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9.07University of Wisconsin2.025.0%1st Place
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11.25Catholic University of America1.313.0%1st Place
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6.66University of Pennsylvania2.429.4%1st Place
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13.15University of South Florida0.901.8%1st Place
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9.43Roger Williams University1.865.3%1st Place
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8.97George Washington University1.895.7%1st Place
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14.18University of Miami0.581.7%1st Place
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10.03Stanford University1.564.6%1st Place
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7.82Boston University1.796.8%1st Place
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10.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.393.8%1st Place
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11.81Tufts University1.502.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Max Anker | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| Marcus Huttunen | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| Scott Mais | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| John McKenna | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% |
| Jordan Bruce | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 21.7% |
| Grant Gridley | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Matthew Priebe | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 16.1% | 32.7% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Michael Pinto | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.7% |
| Connor Sheridan | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.