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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Griffin Orr 30.4% 22.1% 17.4% 12.3% 9.0% 5.4% 2.2% 1.1% 0.1%
Bill Parker 6.7% 9.9% 11.9% 12.6% 16.6% 14.8% 12.9% 10.3% 4.3%
David Alldian 6.8% 8.4% 9.6% 12.0% 11.9% 16.6% 15.3% 12.9% 6.5%
Chris Myers 14.0% 14.9% 14.3% 16.3% 13.6% 11.0% 9.7% 4.5% 1.7%
Caroline Garth 12.2% 14.2% 15.4% 12.0% 12.1% 11.6% 11.3% 7.3% 3.9%
Paul Stevens 17.4% 17.6% 18.2% 15.5% 13.1% 10.0% 4.4% 3.1% 0.7%
Laura Maranto 4.3% 3.9% 4.1% 6.0% 8.6% 9.9% 13.9% 24.6% 24.7%
Eliza Crawford 2.7% 3.5% 2.8% 4.5% 5.0% 7.9% 12.6% 17.4% 43.6%
Ted Wingender 5.5% 5.5% 6.3% 8.8% 10.1% 12.8% 17.7% 18.8% 14.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.