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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Buffalo2.44+1.78vs Predicted
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2William and Mary1.37+2.96vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.15+2.28vs Predicted
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4Drexel University1.64+0.05vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.49-0.62vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University1.95-2.43vs Predicted
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7Columbia University0.40-0.33vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-0.01-0.72vs Predicted
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9Ocean County College0.70-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78University of Buffalo2.440.3%1st Place
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4.96William and Mary1.370.1%1st Place
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5.28Villanova University1.150.1%1st Place
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4.05Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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4.38University of Pennsylvania1.490.1%1st Place
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3.57Monmouth University1.950.2%1st Place
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6.67Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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7.28Penn State University-0.010.0%1st Place
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6.03Ocean County College0.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Orr | 30.4% | 22.1% | 17.4% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Bill Parker | 6.7% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 4.3% |
| David Alldian | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 6.5% |
| Chris Myers | 14.0% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Caroline Garth | 12.2% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 3.9% |
| Paul Stevens | 17.4% | 17.6% | 18.2% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Laura Maranto | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 24.6% | 24.7% |
| Eliza Crawford | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 17.4% | 43.6% |
| Ted Wingender | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 17.7% | 18.8% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.