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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Buffalo2.44+1.79vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.15+3.40vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.49+1.54vs Predicted
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4William and Mary1.37+0.65vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College0.70+0.94vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University1.95-2.44vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-0.01+0.35vs Predicted
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8Columbia University0.40-1.40vs Predicted
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9Drexel University1.64-4.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79University of Buffalo2.440.3%1st Place
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5.4Villanova University1.150.1%1st Place
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4.54University of Pennsylvania1.490.1%1st Place
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4.65William and Mary1.370.1%1st Place
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5.94Ocean County College0.700.1%1st Place
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3.56Monmouth University1.950.2%1st Place
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7.35Penn State University-0.010.0%1st Place
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6.6Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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4.17Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Orr | 28.8% | 23.0% | 18.1% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| David Alldian | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 17.4% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 7.4% |
| Caroline Garth | 11.2% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 2.8% |
| Bill Parker | 10.0% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 3.5% |
| Ted Wingender | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 18.4% | 15.4% |
| Paul Stevens | 18.4% | 16.7% | 19.2% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Eliza Crawford | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 19.9% | 43.7% |
| Laura Maranto | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 15.8% | 22.1% | 24.3% |
| Chris Myers | 13.3% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.