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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.79+6.90vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+4.71vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.42+3.54vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.89+5.16vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.41+1.91vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.39+4.81vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.86+2.44vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.08+0.38vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.02+0.08vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.51-2.67vs Predicted
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11Catholic University of America1.31+0.09vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.89-2.70vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.97-4.19vs Predicted
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14University of Miami0.58+0.21vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida0.90-1.50vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy1.64-5.69vs Predicted
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17Stanford University1.56-7.20vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.50-6.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.9Boston University1.797.8%1st Place
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6.71St. Mary's College of Maryland2.659.0%1st Place
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6.54University of Pennsylvania2.429.5%1st Place
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9.16George Washington University1.896.2%1st Place
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6.91Georgetown University2.419.8%1st Place
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10.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.394.3%1st Place
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9.44Roger Williams University1.863.6%1st Place
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8.38Tulane University2.086.5%1st Place
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9.08University of Wisconsin2.026.1%1st Place
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7.33SUNY Maritime College2.518.3%1st Place
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11.09Catholic University of America1.313.6%1st Place
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9.3Fordham University1.895.1%1st Place
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8.81College of Charleston1.976.2%1st Place
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14.21University of Miami0.581.4%1st Place
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13.5University of South Florida0.901.2%1st Place
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10.31U. S. Naval Academy1.643.9%1st Place
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9.8Stanford University1.564.4%1st Place
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11.72Tufts University1.503.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mowry | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Leo Boucher | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Jordan Bruce | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Priebe | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Scott Mais | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Michael Pinto | 4.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% |
| Grant Gridley | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Marcus Huttunen | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Christian Spencer | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| John McKenna | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 6.5% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Max Anker | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 32.8% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 16.0% | 21.2% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Connor Sheridan | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.