Race 8A

occ-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Griffin Orr 30.2% 22.9% 16.5% 13.1% 9.2% 4.3% 2.8% 1.0% 0.0%
Bill Parker 7.3% 9.4% 11.9% 14.7% 15.0% 13.5% 14.2% 9.6% 4.4%
Ted Wingender 4.5% 5.5% 6.6% 7.7% 10.5% 13.1% 17.4% 18.5% 16.2%
David Alldian 7.2% 11.0% 11.0% 11.5% 13.3% 15.6% 12.6% 10.7% 7.1%
Caroline Garth 13.0% 13.0% 14.9% 13.8% 11.0% 11.3% 11.6% 7.5% 3.9%
Eliza Crawford 2.5% 3.0% 3.3% 5.3% 5.6% 6.9% 11.2% 22.3% 39.9%
Chris Myers 12.6% 13.6% 14.8% 13.9% 14.5% 13.7% 8.7% 6.1% 2.1%
Paul Stevens 18.8% 17.3% 15.7% 14.5% 13.2% 10.6% 5.8% 2.8% 1.3%
Laura Maranto 3.9% 4.3% 5.3% 5.5% 7.7% 11.0% 15.7% 21.5% 25.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.