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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.79+6.80vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.89+7.11vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.51+4.36vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.41+3.11vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.42+1.71vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.89+3.46vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.39+3.94vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.86+1.67vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.50+2.54vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.08-1.62vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-4.40vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy1.64-1.86vs Predicted
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13Catholic University of America1.31-1.98vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.02-4.94vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston1.97-6.07vs Predicted
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16Stanford University1.56-6.07vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida0.90-3.86vs Predicted
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18University of Miami0.58-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.8Boston University1.798.4%1st Place
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9.11George Washington University1.895.6%1st Place
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7.36SUNY Maritime College2.518.3%1st Place
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7.11Georgetown University2.417.7%1st Place
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6.71University of Pennsylvania2.429.8%1st Place
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9.46Fordham University1.895.1%1st Place
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10.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.393.5%1st Place
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9.67Roger Williams University1.864.0%1st Place
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11.54Tufts University1.503.5%1st Place
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8.38Tulane University2.086.2%1st Place
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6.6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6510.5%1st Place
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10.14U. S. Naval Academy1.645.3%1st Place
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11.02Catholic University of America1.313.7%1st Place
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9.06University of Wisconsin2.025.0%1st Place
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8.93College of Charleston1.975.2%1st Place
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9.93Stanford University1.565.0%1st Place
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13.14University of South Florida0.901.7%1st Place
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14.11University of Miami0.581.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mowry | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Priebe | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Scott Mais | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Michael Pinto | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 5.9% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Connor Sheridan | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% |
| Marcus Huttunen | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Leo Boucher | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.0% |
| John McKenna | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 7.7% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Max Anker | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 20.9% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 33.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.