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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Buffalo2.44+1.75vs Predicted
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2William and Mary1.37+2.96vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.15+2.24vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University1.95-0.50vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.49-0.61vs Predicted
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6Columbia University0.40+0.61vs Predicted
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7Drexel University1.64-2.78vs Predicted
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8Ocean County College0.70-1.94vs Predicted
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9Penn State University-0.01-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75University of Buffalo2.440.3%1st Place
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4.96William and Mary1.370.1%1st Place
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5.24Villanova University1.150.1%1st Place
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3.5Monmouth University1.950.2%1st Place
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4.39University of Pennsylvania1.490.1%1st Place
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6.61Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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4.22Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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6.06Ocean County College0.700.1%1st Place
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7.27Penn State University-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Orr | 30.7% | 22.7% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Bill Parker | 7.1% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 5.0% |
| David Alldian | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 5.7% |
| Paul Stevens | 17.9% | 20.1% | 16.3% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Caroline Garth | 12.2% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 4.1% |
| Laura Maranto | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 23.4% | 23.3% |
| Chris Myers | 12.5% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Ted Wingender | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 17.3% | 17.3% | 16.3% |
| Eliza Crawford | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 20.0% | 42.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.