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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+5.67vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.08+6.33vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.41+3.93vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.51+3.35vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.42+1.78vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.79+1.73vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.86+2.41vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.64+2.06vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America1.31+2.28vs Predicted
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10Stanford University1.56-0.02vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.89-1.47vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.02-2.80vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.89-4.02vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.97-5.10vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.39-3.93vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida0.90-2.93vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.50-5.44vs Predicted
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18University of Miami0.58-3.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.659.7%1st Place
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8.33Tulane University2.085.4%1st Place
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6.93Georgetown University2.4110.3%1st Place
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7.35SUNY Maritime College2.518.3%1st Place
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6.78University of Pennsylvania2.429.7%1st Place
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7.73Boston University1.797.2%1st Place
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9.41Roger Williams University1.865.5%1st Place
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10.06U. S. Naval Academy1.644.3%1st Place
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11.28Catholic University of America1.312.8%1st Place
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9.98Stanford University1.564.2%1st Place
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9.53Fordham University1.895.3%1st Place
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9.2University of Wisconsin2.025.7%1st Place
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8.98George Washington University1.897.2%1st Place
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8.9College of Charleston1.975.3%1st Place
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11.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.393.6%1st Place
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13.07University of South Florida0.901.8%1st Place
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11.56Tufts University1.502.9%1st Place
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14.16University of Miami0.581.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Marcus Huttunen | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Scott Mais | 10.3% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Grant Gridley | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.7% |
| John McKenna | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.3% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Matthew Priebe | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Max Anker | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Michael Pinto | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 22.7% |
| Connor Sheridan | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 9.2% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 32.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.