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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Buffalo2.44+1.77vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.15+3.37vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.49+1.53vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College0.70+1.96vs Predicted
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5William and Mary1.37-0.38vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-0.01+1.29vs Predicted
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7Drexel University1.64-2.78vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University1.95-4.39vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.40-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77University of Buffalo2.440.3%1st Place
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5.37Villanova University1.150.1%1st Place
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4.53University of Pennsylvania1.490.1%1st Place
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5.96Ocean County College0.700.0%1st Place
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4.62William and Mary1.370.1%1st Place
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7.29Penn State University-0.010.0%1st Place
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4.22Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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3.61Monmouth University1.950.2%1st Place
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6.64Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Orr | 29.2% | 24.3% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 15.9% | 11.9% | 7.5% |
| Caroline Garth | 11.4% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 2.2% |
| Ted Wingender | 4.5% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 15.4% |
| Bill Parker | 11.3% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 5.0% |
| Eliza Crawford | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 21.7% | 41.0% |
| Chris Myers | 12.9% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 18.4% | 18.8% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Laura Maranto | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 21.3% | 26.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.