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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+5.76vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.41+4.97vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.86+6.53vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.02+5.12vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.97+3.73vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America1.31+5.27vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.42-0.30vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.89+1.58vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.64+1.05vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.89-0.94vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.08-2.69vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.51-4.57vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.79-5.32vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.39-3.14vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida0.90-1.64vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.50-4.42vs Predicted
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17University of Miami0.58-2.94vs Predicted
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18Stanford University1.56-8.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.76St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6510.1%1st Place
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6.97Georgetown University2.419.7%1st Place
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9.53Roger Williams University1.864.6%1st Place
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9.12University of Wisconsin2.025.0%1st Place
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8.73College of Charleston1.975.7%1st Place
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11.27Catholic University of America1.312.4%1st Place
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6.7University of Pennsylvania2.429.8%1st Place
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9.58Fordham University1.894.3%1st Place
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10.05U. S. Naval Academy1.644.5%1st Place
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9.06George Washington University1.895.3%1st Place
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8.31Tulane University2.086.2%1st Place
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7.43SUNY Maritime College2.519.0%1st Place
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7.68Boston University1.798.2%1st Place
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10.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.393.2%1st Place
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13.36University of South Florida0.902.1%1st Place
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11.58Tufts University1.502.9%1st Place
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14.06University of Miami0.581.0%1st Place
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9.95Stanford University1.565.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Scott Mais | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Max Anker | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| John McKenna | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 3.9% |
| Matthew Priebe | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Marcus Huttunen | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Michael Pinto | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 15.7% | 22.6% |
| Connor Sheridan | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.1% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 30.2% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.