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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University-0.09+5.20vs Predicted
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2University of Buffalo0.75+2.63vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.06+3.16vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College0.79+0.25vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.47-2.03vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania0.87-1.88vs Predicted
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7Villanova University0.61-2.30vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.15-2.36vs Predicted
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9Penn State University-0.17-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2Monmouth University-0.090.1%1st Place
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4.63University of Buffalo0.750.1%1st Place
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6.16Drexel University-0.060.1%1st Place
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4.25Ocean County College0.790.1%1st Place
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2.97Columbia University1.470.3%1st Place
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4.12University of Pennsylvania0.870.1%1st Place
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4.7Villanova University0.610.1%1st Place
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5.64William and Mary0.150.1%1st Place
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6.33Penn State University-0.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brogan Savage | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 22.1% |
| Rory Mess | 8.7% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 4.9% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 22.3% |
| Liam Boyle | 11.8% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 30.8% | 20.2% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Maxwell Ryder | 13.6% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Casey Jackson | 11.0% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 5.5% |
| Chris Anderson | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 13.8% |
| Charles Herlihy | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 19.1% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.