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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+5.55vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.08+6.21vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.86+6.44vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.02+5.16vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.97+3.69vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.39+4.99vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.51+0.26vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.79-0.03vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.41-2.08vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.58+4.25vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.89-1.52vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.42-5.28vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.89-4.14vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida0.90-0.81vs Predicted
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15Stanford University1.56-5.11vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy1.64-5.70vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.50-5.20vs Predicted
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18Catholic University of America1.31-6.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6510.6%1st Place
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8.21Tulane University2.087.0%1st Place
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9.44Roger Williams University1.865.1%1st Place
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9.16University of Wisconsin2.025.4%1st Place
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8.69College of Charleston1.976.1%1st Place
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10.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.393.0%1st Place
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7.26SUNY Maritime College2.518.0%1st Place
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7.97Boston University1.796.8%1st Place
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6.92Georgetown University2.419.8%1st Place
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14.25University of Miami0.581.2%1st Place
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9.48Fordham University1.895.5%1st Place
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6.72University of Pennsylvania2.429.7%1st Place
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8.86George Washington University1.895.9%1st Place
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13.19University of South Florida0.901.4%1st Place
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9.89Stanford University1.565.2%1st Place
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10.3U. S. Naval Academy1.644.3%1st Place
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11.8Tufts University1.502.2%1st Place
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11.3Catholic University of America1.312.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Marcus Huttunen | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Grant Gridley | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Max Anker | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Michael Pinto | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Scott Mais | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 15.4% | 31.9% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Jordan Bruce | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Priebe | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 21.9% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% |
| Connor Sheridan | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 9.7% |
| John McKenna | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.