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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.19+6.70vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.04+6.30vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.20+4.57vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.67+5.61vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.58+9.30vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.41+0.95vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.25+0.31vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College0.42+1.32vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.69+1.93vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.62+0.07vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.23-3.12vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-1.54vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-3.59vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.65-4.32vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-8.13vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.19-4.05vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.03-4.77vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.60-7.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.7George Washington University2.198.6%1st Place
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8.3Tulane University2.045.8%1st Place
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7.57Georgetown University2.208.1%1st Place
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9.61Tufts University1.674.3%1st Place
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14.3University of Miami0.581.3%1st Place
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6.95Stanford University2.419.0%1st Place
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7.31U. S. Naval Academy2.258.9%1st Place
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9.32SUNY Maritime College0.425.0%1st Place
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10.93Roger Williams University1.693.4%1st Place
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10.07Fordham University1.625.1%1st Place
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7.88College of Charleston2.237.8%1st Place
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10.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.544.2%1st Place
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9.41St. Mary's College of Maryland1.795.3%1st Place
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9.68Boston University1.653.7%1st Place
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6.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.329.7%1st Place
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11.95University of South Florida1.192.6%1st Place
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12.23University of Wisconsin1.032.8%1st Place
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10.46University of Pennsylvania1.604.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Ehnot | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Thad Lettsome | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Diego Escobar | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| John Eastman | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Jonathan Gleason | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 15.4% | 34.2% |
| Justin Lim | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Nick Chisari | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| John Walton | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% |
| Patrick Dolan | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
| Brandon Geller | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Lucas Sawin | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% |
| Taft Buckley | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% |
| Micky Munns | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.6% |
| Jacob Macdonald | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 14.8% |
| Samuel Gavula | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.