← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Ocean County College0.79+3.36vs Predicted
-
2William and Mary0.15+3.87vs Predicted
-
3Columbia University1.47+0.01vs Predicted
-
4Villanova University0.61+0.62vs Predicted
-
5Penn State University-0.17+1.17vs Predicted
-
6Monmouth University-0.09+0.17vs Predicted
-
7Drexel University-0.06-0.81vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania0.87-3.79vs Predicted
-
9University of Buffalo0.75-4.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.36Ocean County College0.790.1%1st Place
-
5.87William and Mary0.150.1%1st Place
-
3.01Columbia University1.470.3%1st Place
-
4.62Villanova University0.610.1%1st Place
-
6.17Penn State University-0.170.0%1st Place
-
6.17Monmouth University-0.090.1%1st Place
-
6.19Drexel University-0.060.1%1st Place
-
4.21University of Pennsylvania0.870.1%1st Place
-
4.41University of Buffalo0.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Boyle | 14.0% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 4.0% |
| Chris Anderson | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 17.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 27.7% | 19.5% | 17.9% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Casey Jackson | 10.0% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.9% |
| Charles Herlihy | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 17.6% | 23.6% |
| Brogan Savage | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 18.1% | 21.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 19.1% | 20.0% |
| Maxwell Ryder | 14.2% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| Rory Mess | 12.8% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.