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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College0.79+3.34vs Predicted
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2Penn State University-0.17+4.53vs Predicted
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3Columbia University1.47+0.04vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo0.75+0.35vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.15+0.55vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.06+0.08vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania0.87-2.85vs Predicted
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8Villanova University0.61-3.25vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-0.09-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34Ocean County College0.790.1%1st Place
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6.53Penn State University-0.170.0%1st Place
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3.04Columbia University1.470.3%1st Place
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4.35University of Buffalo0.750.1%1st Place
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5.55William and Mary0.150.1%1st Place
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6.08Drexel University-0.060.1%1st Place
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4.15University of Pennsylvania0.870.1%1st Place
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4.75Villanova University0.610.1%1st Place
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6.21Monmouth University-0.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Boyle | 13.2% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Charles Herlihy | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 18.4% | 26.9% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 26.2% | 20.6% | 16.6% | 14.7% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Rory Mess | 13.0% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| Chris Anderson | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 15.4% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 5.6% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 15.5% | 17.4% | 19.3% |
| Maxwell Ryder | 14.0% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Casey Jackson | 11.1% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 6.4% |
| Brogan Savage | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 17.7% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.