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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+5.81vs Predicted
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2University of Miami0.58+12.05vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.65+6.47vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College0.42+5.26vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.04+3.40vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.19+6.00vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54+3.39vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.69+2.86vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.19-1.32vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.25-2.79vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.67-1.60vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.20-4.29vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.23-5.07vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.62-3.86vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-5.38vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.41-8.93vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.60-6.56vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.03-5.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.329.5%1st Place
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14.05University of Miami0.581.3%1st Place
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9.47Boston University1.655.3%1st Place
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9.26SUNY Maritime College0.426.1%1st Place
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8.4Tulane University2.047.0%1st Place
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12.0University of South Florida1.192.5%1st Place
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10.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.543.6%1st Place
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10.86Roger Williams University1.693.5%1st Place
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7.68George Washington University2.197.6%1st Place
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7.21U. S. Naval Academy2.259.2%1st Place
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9.4Tufts University1.676.0%1st Place
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7.71Georgetown University2.207.1%1st Place
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7.93College of Charleston2.237.8%1st Place
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10.14Fordham University1.624.2%1st Place
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9.62St. Mary's College of Maryland1.794.4%1st Place
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7.07Stanford University2.418.2%1st Place
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10.44University of Pennsylvania1.604.0%1st Place
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12.58University of Wisconsin1.032.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Reeser | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Gleason | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 34.3% |
| Micky Munns | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% |
| Nick Chisari | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Thad Lettsome | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 11.3% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% |
| John Walton | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% |
| Michael Ehnot | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Gavin McJones | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| John Eastman | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Diego Escobar | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Brandon Geller | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| Taft Buckley | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Justin Lim | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Gavula | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.5% |
| Jacob Macdonald | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.