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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College0.79+3.35vs Predicted
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2University of Buffalo0.75+2.63vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.06+3.17vs Predicted
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4Villanova University0.61+0.64vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania0.87-0.90vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-0.17+0.27vs Predicted
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7Columbia University1.47-3.99vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-0.09-1.86vs Predicted
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9William and Mary0.15-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35Ocean County College0.790.1%1st Place
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4.63University of Buffalo0.750.1%1st Place
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6.17Drexel University-0.060.1%1st Place
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4.64Villanova University0.610.1%1st Place
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4.1University of Pennsylvania0.870.2%1st Place
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6.27Penn State University-0.170.1%1st Place
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3.01Columbia University1.470.3%1st Place
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6.14Monmouth University-0.090.1%1st Place
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5.7William and Mary0.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Boyle | 13.2% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 3.6% |
| Rory Mess | 9.6% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 4.6% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 17.2% | 21.5% |
| Casey Jackson | 10.4% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% |
| Maxwell Ryder | 16.2% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.1% |
| Charles Herlihy | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 18.5% | 22.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 26.2% | 21.9% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Brogan Savage | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 21.9% |
| Chris Anderson | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.