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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College0.79+3.38vs Predicted
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2Columbia University1.47+1.16vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.06+3.20vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.15+1.58vs Predicted
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5University of Buffalo0.75-0.68vs Predicted
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6Villanova University0.61-1.32vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania0.87-2.83vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-0.17-1.68vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-0.09-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38Ocean County College0.790.1%1st Place
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3.16Columbia University1.470.2%1st Place
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6.2Drexel University-0.060.1%1st Place
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5.58William and Mary0.150.1%1st Place
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4.32University of Buffalo0.750.1%1st Place
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4.68Villanova University0.610.1%1st Place
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4.17University of Pennsylvania0.870.1%1st Place
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6.32Penn State University-0.170.1%1st Place
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6.18Monmouth University-0.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Boyle | 13.6% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 3.4% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 23.5% | 21.8% | 16.9% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 19.8% | 20.5% |
| Chris Anderson | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 14.4% |
| Rory Mess | 13.9% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.3% |
| Casey Jackson | 11.5% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% |
| Maxwell Ryder | 13.8% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Charles Herlihy | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 16.9% | 25.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 15.9% | 16.4% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.