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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+8.66vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.25+5.46vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.04+5.40vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.41+3.19vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.60+4.81vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+0.96vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.19+0.48vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.23+0.08vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.67+0.72vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54+0.48vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.20-3.12vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.65-2.10vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.62-2.76vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.60-3.43vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.69-3.70vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.42-6.48vs Predicted
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17University of Miami0.58-2.93vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.19-5.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.66St. Mary's College of Maryland1.794.8%1st Place
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7.46U. S. Naval Academy2.257.8%1st Place
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8.4Tulane University2.046.8%1st Place
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7.19Stanford University2.418.3%1st Place
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9.81University of Wisconsin1.605.2%1st Place
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6.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.3210.1%1st Place
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7.48George Washington University2.198.3%1st Place
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8.08College of Charleston2.237.2%1st Place
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9.72Tufts University1.675.2%1st Place
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10.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.543.9%1st Place
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7.88Georgetown University2.207.8%1st Place
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9.9Boston University1.654.9%1st Place
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10.24Fordham University1.624.2%1st Place
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10.57University of Pennsylvania1.604.4%1st Place
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11.3Roger Williams University1.693.3%1st Place
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9.52SUNY Maritime College0.424.5%1st Place
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14.07University of Miami0.581.1%1st Place
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12.29University of South Florida1.192.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taft Buckley | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Gavin McJones | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Thad Lettsome | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Justin Lim | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Michael Ehnot | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Brandon Geller | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| John Eastman | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% |
| Diego Escobar | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Micky Munns | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% |
| Samuel Gavula | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.3% |
| John Walton | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Jonathan Gleason | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 33.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.