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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.72+1.65vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University1.36+2.90vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.85-0.52vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota2.25-0.78vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.57-0.70vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois0.44-0.76vs Predicted
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8Marquette University0.56-1.94vs Predicted
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9Marquette University0.56-2.94vs Predicted
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10Hope College-0.35-2.61vs Predicted
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11Michigan Technological University-0.65-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65University of Wisconsin2.720.3%1st Place
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4.9Michigan State University1.360.0%1st Place
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2.48University of Wisconsin2.850.3%1st Place
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3.22University of Minnesota2.250.2%1st Place
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4.3Northwestern University1.570.1%1st Place
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6.24University of Illinois0.440.0%1st Place
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6.06Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
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6.06Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
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7.39Hope College-0.350.0%1st Place
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7.76Michigan Technological University-0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Boylan | 26.9% | 27.1% | 18.6% | 14.5% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 4.9% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 18.9% | 20.9% | 12.5% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Fox | 31.6% | 25.6% | 19.5% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Thompson | 18.7% | 18.1% | 22.3% | 18.2% | 13.4% | 6.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Justin Cohler | 8.9% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 17.4% | 17.6% | 14.5% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Adam Flanders | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 16.7% | 24.8% | 18.8% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Steven Catlin | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 12.7% | 21.3% | 22.9% | 15.9% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Steven Catlin | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 12.7% | 21.3% | 22.9% | 15.9% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Laine Klopfenstein | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 14.7% | 30.1% | 32.5% | 0.0% |
| Jenny Robinson | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 12.7% | 23.8% | 46.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.