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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.69+10.36vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54+8.86vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+6.66vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.60+6.25vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.19+3.03vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.60+5.03vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.67+3.03vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College0.42+1.76vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.41-1.60vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.19+2.66vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-3.74vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.62-1.41vs Predicted
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13University of Miami1.93-3.83vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.65-3.98vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.23-6.78vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.04-7.04vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.20-9.02vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.25-10.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.36Roger Williams University1.693.6%1st Place
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10.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.543.6%1st Place
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9.66St. Mary's College of Maryland1.795.8%1st Place
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10.25University of Wisconsin1.605.0%1st Place
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8.03George Washington University2.198.0%1st Place
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11.03University of Pennsylvania1.603.5%1st Place
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10.03Tufts University1.673.8%1st Place
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9.76SUNY Maritime College0.424.8%1st Place
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7.4Stanford University2.419.4%1st Place
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12.66University of South Florida1.192.6%1st Place
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7.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.328.5%1st Place
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10.59Fordham University1.623.2%1st Place
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9.17University of Miami1.935.2%1st Place
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10.02Boston University1.655.2%1st Place
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8.22College of Charleston2.236.6%1st Place
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8.96Tulane University2.045.9%1st Place
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7.98Georgetown University2.207.5%1st Place
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7.76U. S. Naval Academy2.257.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Walton | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.5% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% |
| Taft Buckley | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% |
| Michael Ehnot | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Samuel Gavula | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% |
| John Eastman | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% |
| Justin Lim | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 20.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| Micky Munns | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% |
| Brandon Geller | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Thad Lettsome | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Diego Escobar | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Gavin McJones | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.