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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University1.47+2.06vs Predicted
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2University of Buffalo0.75+2.63vs Predicted
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3Villanova University0.61+1.76vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College0.79+0.23vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.15+0.53vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.06+0.08vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-0.09-0.78vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-0.17-1.67vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania0.87-4.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Columbia University1.470.3%1st Place
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4.63University of Buffalo0.750.1%1st Place
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4.76Villanova University0.610.1%1st Place
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4.23Ocean County College0.790.1%1st Place
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5.53William and Mary0.150.1%1st Place
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6.08Drexel University-0.060.1%1st Place
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6.22Monmouth University-0.090.1%1st Place
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6.33Penn State University-0.170.1%1st Place
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4.16University of Pennsylvania0.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Bertolotti | 25.3% | 22.9% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Rory Mess | 9.6% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% |
| Casey Jackson | 11.9% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 5.6% |
| Liam Boyle | 13.6% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
| Chris Anderson | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 14.6% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 19.3% | 18.9% |
| Brogan Savage | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 16.5% | 17.0% | 22.1% |
| Charles Herlihy | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 17.3% | 25.6% |
| Maxwell Ryder | 14.5% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.