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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54+9.77vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.25+5.69vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.41+4.31vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.69+7.43vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.19+3.44vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.93+3.16vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.67+2.87vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.19+4.51vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College0.42+0.92vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.65+0.11vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.60-0.89vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.04-3.00vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.20-4.97vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-6.70vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.23-6.72vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.60-5.12vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-7.15vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.62-7.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.543.9%1st Place
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7.69U. S. Naval Academy2.258.2%1st Place
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7.31Stanford University2.418.1%1st Place
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11.43Roger Williams University1.693.8%1st Place
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8.44George Washington University2.197.4%1st Place
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9.16University of Miami1.936.9%1st Place
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9.87Tufts University1.674.7%1st Place
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12.51University of South Florida1.191.8%1st Place
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9.92SUNY Maritime College0.424.2%1st Place
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10.11Boston University1.654.4%1st Place
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10.11University of Wisconsin1.604.0%1st Place
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9.0Tulane University2.046.2%1st Place
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8.03Georgetown University2.208.1%1st Place
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7.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.329.0%1st Place
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8.28College of Charleston2.237.6%1st Place
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10.88University of Pennsylvania1.604.0%1st Place
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9.85St. Mary's College of Maryland1.793.4%1st Place
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10.35Fordham University1.624.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Sawin | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Justin Lim | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| John Walton | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 12.4% |
| Michael Ehnot | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Aidan Dennis | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% |
| John Eastman | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% |
| Humberto Porrata | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 20.6% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% |
| Micky Munns | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% |
| Thad Lettsome | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Diego Escobar | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Brandon Geller | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Samuel Gavula | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% |
| Taft Buckley | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.