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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Buffalo0.75+3.42vs Predicted
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2Columbia University1.47+1.19vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College0.79+1.38vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania0.87+0.10vs Predicted
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5Villanova University0.61-0.40vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.06+0.07vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-0.17-0.61vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-0.09-1.85vs Predicted
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9William and Mary0.15-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42University of Buffalo0.750.1%1st Place
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3.19Columbia University1.470.2%1st Place
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4.38Ocean County College0.790.1%1st Place
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4.1University of Pennsylvania0.870.1%1st Place
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4.6Villanova University0.610.1%1st Place
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6.07Drexel University-0.060.1%1st Place
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6.39Penn State University-0.170.1%1st Place
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6.15Monmouth University-0.090.1%1st Place
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5.7William and Mary0.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rory Mess | 12.8% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 4.3% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 22.6% | 22.8% | 16.8% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Liam Boyle | 13.7% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| Maxwell Ryder | 14.6% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.2% |
| Casey Jackson | 12.1% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 6.7% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 19.0% |
| Charles Herlihy | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 18.5% | 25.5% |
| Brogan Savage | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 21.5% |
| Chris Anderson | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.