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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54+9.80vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+5.19vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.41+4.22vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.67+5.76vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.19+3.24vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.65+3.90vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.25+0.52vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.19+4.26vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+0.95vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.23-2.01vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.69+0.11vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.04-3.34vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.42-3.55vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.93-4.88vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.20-7.02vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.62-5.54vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.60-6.28vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.03-5.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.543.5%1st Place
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7.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.328.8%1st Place
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7.22Stanford University2.418.5%1st Place
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9.76Tufts University1.675.1%1st Place
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8.24George Washington University2.196.5%1st Place
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9.9Boston University1.655.6%1st Place
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7.52U. S. Naval Academy2.259.8%1st Place
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12.26University of South Florida1.192.1%1st Place
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9.95St. Mary's College of Maryland1.795.6%1st Place
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7.99College of Charleston2.236.8%1st Place
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11.11Roger Williams University1.693.5%1st Place
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8.66Tulane University2.046.1%1st Place
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9.45SUNY Maritime College0.425.2%1st Place
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9.12University of Miami1.935.8%1st Place
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7.98Georgetown University2.206.8%1st Place
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10.46Fordham University1.624.8%1st Place
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10.72University of Pennsylvania1.603.5%1st Place
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12.67University of Wisconsin1.032.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Sawin | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Justin Lim | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| John Eastman | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% |
| Michael Ehnot | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Micky Munns | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% |
| Gavin McJones | 9.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 15.8% |
| Taft Buckley | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% |
| Brandon Geller | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| John Walton | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% |
| Thad Lettsome | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Nick Chisari | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Diego Escobar | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% |
| Samuel Gavula | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% |
| Jacob Macdonald | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.