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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University1.47+2.05vs Predicted
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2University of Buffalo0.75+2.60vs Predicted
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3Villanova University0.61+1.74vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College0.79+0.24vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania0.87-0.92vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.06+0.05vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-0.17-0.60vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.15-2.34vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-0.09-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05Columbia University1.470.3%1st Place
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4.6University of Buffalo0.750.1%1st Place
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4.74Villanova University0.610.1%1st Place
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4.24Ocean County College0.790.1%1st Place
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4.08University of Pennsylvania0.870.2%1st Place
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6.05Drexel University-0.060.1%1st Place
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6.4Penn State University-0.170.1%1st Place
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5.66William and Mary0.150.1%1st Place
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6.17Monmouth University-0.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Bertolotti | 25.1% | 23.0% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Rory Mess | 8.9% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% |
| Casey Jackson | 11.1% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 5.6% |
| Liam Boyle | 13.6% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 3.9% |
| Maxwell Ryder | 16.4% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 18.8% |
| Charles Herlihy | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 19.3% | 24.8% |
| Chris Anderson | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 14.5% |
| Brogan Savage | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.