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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College0.79+3.33vs Predicted
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2Penn State University-0.17+4.52vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.06+3.17vs Predicted
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4Columbia University1.47-1.02vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania0.87-0.91vs Predicted
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6University of Buffalo0.75-1.64vs Predicted
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7Villanova University0.61-2.27vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.15-2.34vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-0.09-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Ocean County College0.790.1%1st Place
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6.52Penn State University-0.170.0%1st Place
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6.17Drexel University-0.060.1%1st Place
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2.98Columbia University1.470.3%1st Place
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4.09University of Pennsylvania0.870.2%1st Place
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4.36University of Buffalo0.750.1%1st Place
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4.73Villanova University0.610.1%1st Place
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5.66William and Mary0.150.1%1st Place
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6.17Monmouth University-0.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Boyle | 13.2% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 3.7% |
| Charles Herlihy | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 19.4% | 26.1% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 17.8% | 21.3% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 25.2% | 25.0% | 17.4% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Maxwell Ryder | 15.6% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% |
| Rory Mess | 12.5% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Casey Jackson | 10.6% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 5.1% |
| Chris Anderson | 8.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 14.2% |
| Brogan Savage | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 17.9% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.