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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.04+7.51vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+5.16vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.65+6.79vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54+6.79vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.41+2.33vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.23+2.03vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.03+5.91vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.25-0.37vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+0.65vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College0.42-0.19vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.19-3.02vs Predicted
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12University of Miami1.93-2.84vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.67-3.05vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.20-6.21vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.69-4.14vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.19-3.77vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.60-6.28vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.62-7.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.51Tulane University2.046.9%1st Place
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7.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.328.8%1st Place
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9.79Boston University1.654.8%1st Place
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10.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.543.8%1st Place
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7.33Stanford University2.419.2%1st Place
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8.03College of Charleston2.236.9%1st Place
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12.91University of Wisconsin1.032.6%1st Place
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7.63U. S. Naval Academy2.257.5%1st Place
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9.65St. Mary's College of Maryland1.795.8%1st Place
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9.81SUNY Maritime College0.424.3%1st Place
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7.98George Washington University2.198.0%1st Place
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9.16University of Miami1.935.5%1st Place
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9.95Tufts University1.673.7%1st Place
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7.79Georgetown University2.207.8%1st Place
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10.86Roger Williams University1.694.3%1st Place
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12.23University of South Florida1.192.2%1st Place
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10.72University of Pennsylvania1.603.7%1st Place
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10.68Fordham University1.624.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thad Lettsome | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Micky Munns | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% |
| Justin Lim | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Brandon Geller | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Jacob Macdonald | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 21.6% |
| Gavin McJones | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Taft Buckley | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% |
| Michael Ehnot | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| John Eastman | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Diego Escobar | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| John Walton | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 17.2% |
| Samuel Gavula | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.