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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College0.79+3.34vs Predicted
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2Villanova University0.61+2.90vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo0.75+1.47vs Predicted
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4Columbia University1.47-1.05vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania0.87-0.90vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.06+0.07vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.15-1.33vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-0.09-1.84vs Predicted
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9Penn State University-0.17-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34Ocean County College0.790.1%1st Place
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4.9Villanova University0.610.1%1st Place
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4.47University of Buffalo0.750.1%1st Place
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2.95Columbia University1.470.3%1st Place
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4.1University of Pennsylvania0.870.2%1st Place
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6.07Drexel University-0.060.1%1st Place
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5.67William and Mary0.150.1%1st Place
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6.16Monmouth University-0.090.1%1st Place
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6.35Penn State University-0.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Boyle | 14.0% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
| Casey Jackson | 8.3% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.2% |
| Rory Mess | 13.2% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 4.1% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 26.2% | 23.6% | 16.9% | 14.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Maxwell Ryder | 15.2% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 19.4% |
| Chris Anderson | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 12.8% |
| Brogan Savage | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 22.8% |
| Charles Herlihy | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 17.3% | 25.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.