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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+5.74vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.04+6.18vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+6.34vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54+5.95vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20+2.49vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.25+1.05vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.62+2.88vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.19-0.62vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.41-2.07vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.69+0.51vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.67-1.64vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.65-2.63vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.03-0.89vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.23-6.41vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College0.76-1.74vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.60-5.93vs Predicted
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17University of Miami0.58-3.22vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.19-5.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.329.1%1st Place
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8.18Tulane University2.046.8%1st Place
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9.34St. Mary's College of Maryland1.796.7%1st Place
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9.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.544.0%1st Place
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7.49Georgetown University2.208.0%1st Place
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7.05U. S. Naval Academy2.258.2%1st Place
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9.88Fordham University1.624.5%1st Place
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7.38George Washington University2.197.5%1st Place
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6.93Stanford University2.419.9%1st Place
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10.51Roger Williams University1.693.6%1st Place
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9.36Tufts University1.675.4%1st Place
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9.37Boston University1.655.5%1st Place
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12.11University of Wisconsin1.032.1%1st Place
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7.59College of Charleston2.238.5%1st Place
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13.26SUNY Maritime College0.761.8%1st Place
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10.07University of Pennsylvania1.604.2%1st Place
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13.78University of Miami0.581.6%1st Place
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12.02University of South Florida1.192.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Reeser | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Thad Lettsome | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Taft Buckley | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Lucas Sawin | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% |
| Diego Escobar | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| Michael Ehnot | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Justin Lim | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| John Walton | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% |
| John Eastman | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Micky Munns | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Jacob Macdonald | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 13.1% |
| Brandon Geller | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| John Vail | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 21.9% |
| Samuel Gavula | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Jonathan Gleason | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 26.6% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.