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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.23+1.28vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.04+0.55vs Predicted
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3California State University Monterey Bay0.50+3.67vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.05+3.45vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.71-0.52vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.39-0.95vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.52-2.11vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-5.09vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-0.86-1.52vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-1.55-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28Stanford University3.230.4%1st Place
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2.55University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
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6.67California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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7.45University of California at San Diego-0.050.0%1st Place
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4.48University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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5.05University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
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4.89University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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3.91University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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8.48University of California at Irvine-0.860.0%1st Place
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9.24University of California at Davis-1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McKinney | 37.0% | 26.4% | 19.1% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 28.1% | 27.8% | 20.1% | 13.7% | 7.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 21.0% | 26.1% | 13.2% | 2.6% |
| Danielle Sams | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 17.4% | 29.0% | 22.4% | 8.2% |
| Jennifer Hays | 7.9% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 18.6% | 16.7% | 10.9% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 7.0% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 19.6% | 15.9% | 8.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Kendall Sanson | 5.2% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 16.7% | 17.5% | 18.7% | 14.3% | 6.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Ginger Luckey | 11.3% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 18.1% | 17.1% | 12.1% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Steiner | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 8.4% | 15.3% | 38.4% | 27.1% |
| Michelle Moua | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 8.6% | 20.7% | 61.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.