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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.69+9.69vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.41+4.85vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54+6.99vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+5.36vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+1.71vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.20+1.39vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.25+0.02vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.04+0.15vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.19-1.59vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College0.76+3.37vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.62-0.91vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.65-2.85vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.60-2.84vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.19-2.21vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.03-2.99vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.23-8.39vs Predicted
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17University of Miami0.58-2.91vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.67-8.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.69Roger Williams University1.693.4%1st Place
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6.85Stanford University2.419.2%1st Place
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9.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.545.0%1st Place
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9.36St. Mary's College of Maryland1.795.7%1st Place
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6.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.329.4%1st Place
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7.39Georgetown University2.208.2%1st Place
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7.02U. S. Naval Academy2.257.6%1st Place
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8.15Tulane University2.046.7%1st Place
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7.41George Washington University2.198.5%1st Place
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13.37SUNY Maritime College0.761.7%1st Place
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10.09Fordham University1.624.2%1st Place
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9.15Boston University1.655.8%1st Place
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10.16University of Pennsylvania1.605.1%1st Place
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11.79University of South Florida1.192.9%1st Place
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12.01University of Wisconsin1.032.6%1st Place
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7.61College of Charleston2.237.5%1st Place
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14.09University of Miami0.580.9%1st Place
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9.16Tufts University1.675.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Walton | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% |
| Justin Lim | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Sawin | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Taft Buckley | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Diego Escobar | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Gavin McJones | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Thad Lettsome | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Michael Ehnot | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| John Vail | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 21.9% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Micky Munns | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Samuel Gavula | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.8% |
| Jacob Macdonald | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 11.5% |
| Brandon Geller | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Jonathan Gleason | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 29.6% |
| John Eastman | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.