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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.71+3.52vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.04+0.51vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.23-0.68vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.52+0.91vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.39+0.04vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-3.08vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.05-0.53vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-0.86-0.52vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay0.50-3.42vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-1.55-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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2.51University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
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2.32Stanford University3.230.3%1st Place
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4.91University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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5.04University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
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3.92University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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7.47University of California at San Diego-0.050.0%1st Place
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8.48University of California at Irvine-0.860.0%1st Place
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6.58California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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9.24University of California at Davis-1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Hays | 8.9% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 16.2% | 11.3% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 28.9% | 27.8% | 20.8% | 12.9% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 33.9% | 28.2% | 20.0% | 11.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 5.8% | 7.1% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 20.1% | 18.2% | 13.1% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 20.6% | 15.3% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Ginger Luckey | 11.6% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 19.8% | 17.9% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Danielle Sams | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 17.3% | 33.5% | 21.0% | 7.6% |
| Bridget Steiner | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 15.1% | 37.7% | 27.8% |
| Christina Stege | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 23.5% | 22.3% | 12.2% | 2.8% |
| Michelle Moua | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 22.3% | 61.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.