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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+6.68vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.23+5.97vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.65+6.83vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.25+3.35vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.62+5.30vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.42+5.25vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.03vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.69+3.28vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.41-1.92vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College0.42-0.45vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.67-1.56vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.60-1.20vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-2.33vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.03-1.42vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.93-5.93vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.19-3.96vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-7.57vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.19-10.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.68Georgetown University2.207.1%1st Place
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7.97College of Charleston2.238.8%1st Place
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9.83Boston University1.655.3%1st Place
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7.35U. S. Naval Academy2.257.8%1st Place
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10.3Fordham University1.624.5%1st Place
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11.25Tulane University1.424.1%1st Place
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6.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.329.0%1st Place
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11.28Roger Williams University1.693.2%1st Place
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7.08Stanford University2.419.2%1st Place
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9.55SUNY Maritime College0.424.8%1st Place
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9.44Tufts University1.675.1%1st Place
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10.8University of Pennsylvania1.603.6%1st Place
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10.67U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.543.5%1st Place
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12.58University of Wisconsin1.032.4%1st Place
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9.07University of Miami1.935.0%1st Place
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12.04University of South Florida1.192.9%1st Place
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9.43St. Mary's College of Maryland1.795.0%1st Place
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7.68George Washington University2.198.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Escobar | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Brandon Geller | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Micky Munns | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% |
| Gavin McJones | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% |
| William Keenan | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| John Walton | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.5% |
| Justin Lim | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% |
| John Eastman | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Samuel Gavula | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% |
| Jacob Macdonald | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 20.8% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 15.3% |
| Taft Buckley | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Michael Ehnot | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.