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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.04+1.52vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.71+2.55vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.23-0.70vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay0.50+1.62vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.52-1.16vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.39-1.96vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-4.01vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.05-1.59vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-1.55-0.81vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-0.86-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
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4.55University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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2.3Stanford University3.230.3%1st Place
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6.62California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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4.84University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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5.04University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
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3.99University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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7.41University of California at San Diego-0.050.0%1st Place
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9.19University of California at Davis-1.550.0%1st Place
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8.51University of California at Irvine-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Kennedy | 32.3% | 24.7% | 19.3% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 8.5% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 17.7% | 17.0% | 17.2% | 11.0% | 5.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 33.1% | 29.6% | 20.6% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 22.6% | 24.4% | 11.5% | 2.5% |
| Kendall Sanson | 6.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 17.5% | 20.3% | 12.3% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 16.7% | 17.4% | 9.1% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Ginger Luckey | 8.8% | 14.1% | 18.2% | 19.9% | 17.4% | 12.4% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sams | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 16.7% | 27.4% | 24.0% | 8.3% |
| Michelle Moua | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 8.7% | 20.6% | 61.0% |
| Bridget Steiner | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 15.9% | 38.2% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.