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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.25+6.37vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.62+8.14vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+4.12vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.69+7.19vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.19+2.85vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.41+0.91vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.60+3.70vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.20-0.26vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.23-1.01vs Predicted
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10Tulane University1.42+1.17vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.67-1.20vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.42-2.52vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-2.44vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.03-1.51vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.65-5.38vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-6.31vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.19-4.82vs Predicted
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18University of Miami1.93-9.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37U. S. Naval Academy2.257.2%1st Place
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10.14Fordham University1.624.3%1st Place
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7.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.329.5%1st Place
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11.19Roger Williams University1.693.5%1st Place
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7.85George Washington University2.198.0%1st Place
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6.91Stanford University2.418.6%1st Place
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10.7University of Pennsylvania1.604.0%1st Place
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7.74Georgetown University2.208.7%1st Place
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7.99College of Charleston2.238.6%1st Place
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11.17Tulane University1.422.9%1st Place
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9.8Tufts University1.674.3%1st Place
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9.48SUNY Maritime College0.425.1%1st Place
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10.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.544.2%1st Place
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12.49University of Wisconsin1.033.0%1st Place
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9.62Boston University1.655.4%1st Place
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9.69St. Mary's College of Maryland1.794.6%1st Place
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12.18University of South Florida1.192.4%1st Place
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8.99University of Miami1.935.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin McJones | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| John Walton | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% |
| Michael Ehnot | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Justin Lim | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Samuel Gavula | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% |
| Diego Escobar | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Brandon Geller | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| William Keenan | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% |
| John Eastman | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Nick Chisari | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Lucas Sawin | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% |
| Jacob Macdonald | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 19.2% |
| Micky Munns | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% |
| Taft Buckley | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 17.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.