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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+6.65vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.60+8.59vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.19+4.78vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.25+3.45vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+2.03vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.62+4.28vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.67+2.58vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.41-1.06vs Predicted
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9University of Miami1.93+0.13vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54+0.50vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.42-1.46vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.69-1.18vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.23-5.00vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-4.30vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.42-3.61vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.03-3.49vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.65-7.29vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.19-5.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.65Georgetown University2.208.0%1st Place
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10.59University of Pennsylvania1.604.4%1st Place
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7.78George Washington University2.197.8%1st Place
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7.45U. S. Naval Academy2.258.3%1st Place
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7.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.329.3%1st Place
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10.28Fordham University1.624.5%1st Place
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9.58Tufts University1.675.3%1st Place
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6.94Stanford University2.419.6%1st Place
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9.13University of Miami1.935.2%1st Place
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10.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.544.5%1st Place
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9.54SUNY Maritime College0.424.2%1st Place
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10.82Roger Williams University1.693.9%1st Place
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8.0College of Charleston2.237.0%1st Place
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9.7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.795.1%1st Place
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11.39Tulane University1.423.6%1st Place
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12.51University of Wisconsin1.032.5%1st Place
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9.71Boston University1.654.2%1st Place
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12.4University of South Florida1.192.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Escobar | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Samuel Gavula | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% |
| Michael Ehnot | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% |
| John Eastman | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% |
| Justin Lim | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Lucas Sawin | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% |
| John Walton | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% |
| Brandon Geller | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Taft Buckley | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% |
| William Keenan | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% |
| Jacob Macdonald | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 19.0% |
| Micky Munns | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.