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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.23+1.28vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.71+2.55vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.04-0.47vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.52+0.86vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-1.06vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.50+0.57vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.39-1.86vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-0.86-0.54vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.05-2.55vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-1.55-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28Stanford University3.230.4%1st Place
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4.55University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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2.53University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
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4.86University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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3.94University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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6.57California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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5.14University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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8.46University of California at Irvine-0.860.0%1st Place
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7.45University of California at San Diego-0.050.0%1st Place
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9.22University of California at Davis-1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McKinney | 37.6% | 27.8% | 16.8% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 8.6% | 7.8% | 15.4% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 17.4% | 11.5% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 27.7% | 28.9% | 20.8% | 12.6% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 5.7% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 16.5% | 18.7% | 17.7% | 12.7% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Ginger Luckey | 11.0% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 19.4% | 16.7% | 12.7% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 22.2% | 22.2% | 13.1% | 3.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 4.7% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 17.6% | 19.5% | 16.3% | 8.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Bridget Steiner | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 8.4% | 16.4% | 35.9% | 28.1% |
| Danielle Sams | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 16.4% | 30.5% | 23.2% | 7.9% |
| Michelle Moua | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 22.6% | 60.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.