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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.23+1.28vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.04+0.53vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+1.05vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.71+0.57vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.05+2.31vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.52-2.14vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.39-2.89vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-0.86-0.53vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-1.55-0.80vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay0.50-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28Stanford University3.230.4%1st Place
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2.53University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
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4.05University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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4.57University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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7.31University of California at San Diego-0.050.0%1st Place
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4.86University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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5.11University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
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8.47University of California at Irvine-0.860.0%1st Place
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9.2University of California at Davis-1.550.0%1st Place
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6.61California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McKinney | 37.0% | 28.2% | 16.9% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 29.0% | 26.6% | 21.6% | 12.3% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 11.1% | 11.4% | 17.5% | 18.7% | 17.4% | 13.6% | 7.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Hays | 5.6% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 17.3% | 16.5% | 18.6% | 11.5% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sams | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 27.0% | 25.2% | 7.4% |
| Kendall Sanson | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 17.4% | 14.7% | 7.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 5.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 19.8% | 18.9% | 14.9% | 8.5% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Bridget Steiner | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 8.8% | 17.3% | 35.7% | 27.9% |
| Michelle Moua | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 9.5% | 20.4% | 61.1% |
| Christina Stege | 1.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 22.8% | 23.7% | 12.9% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.