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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+5.97vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.19+5.86vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.41+4.14vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.65+5.55vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.42+6.25vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.60+4.65vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College0.42+2.56vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54+2.48vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.23-0.92vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.67-0.39vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.20-3.24vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.25-4.48vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-3.40vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.69-2.82vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.03-2.48vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.19-3.90vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.62-6.69vs Predicted
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18University of Miami1.93-9.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.329.3%1st Place
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7.86George Washington University2.198.5%1st Place
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7.14Stanford University2.418.6%1st Place
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9.55Boston University1.655.0%1st Place
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11.25Tulane University1.423.0%1st Place
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10.65University of Pennsylvania1.604.3%1st Place
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9.56SUNY Maritime College0.424.0%1st Place
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10.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.544.0%1st Place
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8.08College of Charleston2.238.0%1st Place
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9.61Tufts University1.674.5%1st Place
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7.76Georgetown University2.207.8%1st Place
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7.52U. S. Naval Academy2.258.1%1st Place
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9.6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.795.3%1st Place
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11.18Roger Williams University1.693.0%1st Place
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12.52University of Wisconsin1.032.9%1st Place
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12.1University of South Florida1.193.1%1st Place
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10.31Fordham University1.624.2%1st Place
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8.87University of Miami1.936.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Reeser | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Michael Ehnot | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Justin Lim | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Micky Munns | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% |
| William Keenan | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% |
| Samuel Gavula | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Lucas Sawin | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% |
| Brandon Geller | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| John Eastman | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Diego Escobar | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Taft Buckley | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% |
| John Walton | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% |
| Jacob Macdonald | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 18.4% |
| Humberto Porrata | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 16.0% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% |
| Aidan Dennis | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.