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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.57+3.38vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.85+0.58vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.72-0.35vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University1.36+0.67vs Predicted
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5Marquette University0.56+0.97vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.56-1.03vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota2.25-4.72vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois0.44-2.70vs Predicted
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10Hope College-0.35-2.60vs Predicted
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11Michigan Technological University-0.65-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38Northwestern University1.570.1%1st Place
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2.58University of Wisconsin2.850.3%1st Place
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2.65University of Wisconsin2.720.3%1st Place
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4.67Michigan State University1.360.1%1st Place
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5.97Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
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5.97Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
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3.28University of Minnesota2.250.2%1st Place
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6.3University of Illinois0.440.0%1st Place
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7.4Hope College-0.350.0%1st Place
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7.77Michigan Technological University-0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Cohler | 9.7% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 19.0% | 16.9% | 10.6% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Fox | 28.4% | 26.8% | 20.1% | 13.3% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Boylan | 28.2% | 25.4% | 19.5% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 7.7% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 20.2% | 18.1% | 13.4% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Steven Catlin | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 18.2% | 18.0% | 18.9% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Steven Catlin | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 18.2% | 18.0% | 18.9% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Thompson | 17.7% | 18.8% | 19.7% | 20.6% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Flanders | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 17.8% | 25.6% | 19.7% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Laine Klopfenstein | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 15.1% | 30.4% | 32.3% | 0.0% |
| Jenny Robinson | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 12.6% | 22.7% | 47.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.