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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine-0.86+7.45vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.71+2.62vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.04-0.46vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.23-1.76vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.05+2.35vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-2.04vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.52-3.09vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.50-2.43vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles1.39-4.86vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-1.55-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.45University of California at Irvine-0.860.0%1st Place
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4.62University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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2.54University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
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2.24Stanford University3.230.4%1st Place
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7.35University of California at San Diego-0.050.0%1st Place
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3.96University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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4.91University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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6.57California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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5.14University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
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9.23University of California at Davis-1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Steiner | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 7.9% | 16.1% | 37.3% | 27.7% |
| Jennifer Hays | 8.4% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 19.8% | 16.9% | 12.9% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 29.0% | 25.7% | 22.1% | 13.0% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 35.2% | 30.7% | 18.9% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sams | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 15.1% | 28.8% | 22.4% | 8.6% |
| Ginger Luckey | 12.3% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 18.1% | 17.5% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 4.8% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 18.5% | 18.9% | 13.2% | 6.9% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Christina Stege | 2.3% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 21.8% | 24.6% | 11.4% | 2.6% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 15.4% | 16.3% | 19.4% | 16.2% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Michelle Moua | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 8.3% | 22.7% | 60.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.