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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.25+6.48vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+5.30vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.19+5.08vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.93+4.94vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.41+2.41vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.42+3.65vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.20+0.94vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.65+1.79vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.23-0.81vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-0.20vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.67-1.13vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-1.53vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.62-2.60vs Predicted
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14Tulane University1.42-2.83vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.69-3.78vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.19-3.71vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.60-6.79vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.60-7.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.48U. S. Naval Academy2.258.3%1st Place
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7.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.327.9%1st Place
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8.08George Washington University2.197.9%1st Place
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8.94University of Miami1.935.8%1st Place
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7.41Stanford University2.417.1%1st Place
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9.65SUNY Maritime College0.425.5%1st Place
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7.94Georgetown University2.208.8%1st Place
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9.79Boston University1.653.8%1st Place
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8.19College of Charleston2.236.8%1st Place
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9.8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.795.5%1st Place
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9.87Tufts University1.675.4%1st Place
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10.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.544.9%1st Place
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10.4Fordham University1.624.5%1st Place
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11.17Tulane University1.424.3%1st Place
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11.22Roger Williams University1.693.4%1st Place
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12.29University of South Florida1.192.5%1st Place
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10.21University of Wisconsin1.604.2%1st Place
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10.8University of Pennsylvania1.603.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin McJones | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Michael Ehnot | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% |
| Justin Lim | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Nick Chisari | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% |
| Diego Escobar | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Micky Munns | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% |
| Brandon Geller | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Taft Buckley | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% |
| John Eastman | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% |
| Lucas Sawin | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% |
| William Keenan | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.8% |
| John Walton | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.6% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 18.2% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% |
| Samuel Gavula | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.