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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.04+1.54vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+2.01vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.52+1.91vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.23-1.73vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.71-0.53vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.50+0.53vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.05+0.49vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-0.86-0.50vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles1.39-4.94vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-1.55-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
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4.01University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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4.91University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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2.27Stanford University3.230.3%1st Place
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4.47University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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6.53California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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7.49University of California at San Diego-0.050.0%1st Place
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8.5University of California at Irvine-0.860.0%1st Place
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5.06University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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9.23University of California at Davis-1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Kennedy | 29.7% | 27.6% | 19.7% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 10.5% | 12.0% | 18.7% | 19.2% | 17.1% | 13.1% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 18.4% | 18.5% | 14.2% | 7.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Molly McKinney | 34.7% | 29.7% | 18.9% | 10.5% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 8.5% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 17.4% | 18.6% | 16.2% | 10.1% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Christina Stege | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 23.2% | 21.5% | 13.6% | 2.5% |
| Danielle Sams | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 17.7% | 31.3% | 21.7% | 8.0% |
| Bridget Steiner | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 8.4% | 14.6% | 38.6% | 27.7% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 4.9% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 20.1% | 15.1% | 8.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Michelle Moua | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 9.2% | 21.2% | 61.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.