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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+6.89vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.67+7.76vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.19+4.97vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.25+3.43vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+4.81vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.42+3.58vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.41+0.30vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.69+3.25vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54+1.76vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.60+0.95vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.65-1.21vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-4.93vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.60-2.85vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.93-4.79vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.62-4.48vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.23-8.15vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.42-5.52vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.19-5.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89Georgetown University2.208.2%1st Place
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9.76Tufts University1.674.2%1st Place
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7.97George Washington University2.197.2%1st Place
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7.43U. S. Naval Academy2.258.2%1st Place
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9.81St. Mary's College of Maryland1.795.5%1st Place
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9.58SUNY Maritime College0.425.2%1st Place
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7.3Stanford University2.418.2%1st Place
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11.25Roger Williams University1.692.9%1st Place
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10.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.544.5%1st Place
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10.95University of Pennsylvania1.603.5%1st Place
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9.79Boston University1.654.7%1st Place
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7.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.328.8%1st Place
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10.15University of Wisconsin1.605.0%1st Place
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9.21University of Miami1.935.9%1st Place
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10.52Fordham University1.623.2%1st Place
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7.85College of Charleston2.239.0%1st Place
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11.48Tulane University1.423.2%1st Place
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12.24University of South Florida1.192.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Escobar | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| John Eastman | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% |
| Michael Ehnot | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Taft Buckley | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% |
| Nick Chisari | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% |
| Justin Lim | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| John Walton | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% |
| Lucas Sawin | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% |
| Samuel Gavula | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.9% |
| Micky Munns | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% |
| Brandon Geller | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| William Keenan | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.9% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.