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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.23+1.30vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.71+2.56vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+0.99vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.04-1.48vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.52-0.18vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-0.86+1.44vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.39-2.88vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.50-2.43vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.05-2.54vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-1.55-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3Stanford University3.230.4%1st Place
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4.56University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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3.99University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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2.52University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
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4.82University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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8.44University of California at Irvine-0.860.0%1st Place
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5.12University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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6.57California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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7.46University of California at San Diego-0.050.0%1st Place
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9.23University of California at Davis-1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McKinney | 37.0% | 27.6% | 16.1% | 10.8% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 7.9% | 8.7% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 17.4% | 17.4% | 10.8% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ginger Luckey | 11.6% | 12.1% | 16.3% | 20.4% | 17.5% | 13.2% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 27.4% | 30.1% | 20.2% | 12.6% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 17.3% | 18.2% | 14.9% | 6.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Steiner | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 17.5% | 35.0% | 28.5% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 4.9% | 6.5% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 17.4% | 19.6% | 16.5% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Christina Stege | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 22.7% | 23.0% | 13.0% | 2.2% |
| Danielle Sams | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 16.1% | 28.9% | 26.0% | 6.8% |
| Michelle Moua | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 8.4% | 20.7% | 61.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.