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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.04+1.54vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+2.01vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.52+1.89vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.23-2.74vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.71-1.51vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.39-1.97vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.50-1.33vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-1.55+0.19vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-0.86-1.48vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.05-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
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4.01University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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4.89University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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2.26Stanford University3.230.3%1st Place
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4.49University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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5.03University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
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6.67California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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9.19University of California at Davis-1.550.0%1st Place
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8.52University of California at Irvine-0.860.0%1st Place
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7.39University of California at San Diego-0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Kennedy | 28.6% | 28.6% | 20.7% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 10.4% | 12.1% | 18.5% | 19.9% | 16.7% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 19.6% | 18.4% | 15.1% | 6.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Molly McKinney | 34.5% | 30.1% | 19.2% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 8.3% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 18.2% | 17.8% | 15.9% | 10.8% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 16.3% | 18.0% | 15.5% | 9.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Christina Stege | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 24.4% | 23.0% | 12.2% | 3.0% |
| Michelle Moua | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 9.7% | 21.7% | 59.2% |
| Bridget Steiner | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 15.3% | 37.8% | 29.1% |
| Danielle Sams | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 28.6% | 23.6% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.