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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.23+1.27vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.04+0.54vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.52+1.90vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-1.01vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.71-1.54vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-1.55+2.15vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.50-1.36vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.05-1.58vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles1.39-4.90vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-0.86-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Stanford University3.230.4%1st Place
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2.54University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
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4.9University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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3.99University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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4.46University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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9.15University of California at Davis-1.550.0%1st Place
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6.64California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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7.42University of California at San Diego-0.050.0%1st Place
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5.1University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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8.53University of California at Irvine-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McKinney | 37.9% | 27.7% | 17.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 30.0% | 24.6% | 22.4% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 16.5% | 20.4% | 14.4% | 7.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Ginger Luckey | 8.9% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 20.0% | 17.3% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Hays | 8.1% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 19.3% | 15.9% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Moua | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 22.5% | 59.0% |
| Christina Stege | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 14.3% | 25.2% | 22.7% | 12.0% | 2.5% |
| Danielle Sams | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 15.1% | 29.4% | 21.5% | 9.5% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 4.5% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 18.1% | 15.9% | 8.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Bridget Steiner | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 16.8% | 38.4% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.