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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+0.91vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+0.90vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.65+0.65vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.58+0.58vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.13+0.30vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.78-1.88vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-2.33vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay-0.45-1.66vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-1.02-1.61vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.69-1.65vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-2.03-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91Stanford University2.920.5%1st Place
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2.9University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
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3.65University of Hawaii1.650.1%1st Place
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5.58University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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6.3University of California at Berkeley0.130.0%1st Place
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5.12University of Southern California0.780.1%1st Place
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5.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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7.34California State University Monterey Bay-0.450.0%1st Place
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8.39University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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9.35University of California at San Diego-1.690.0%1st Place
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9.78University of California at Davis-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maeve White | 45.5% | 30.5% | 15.5% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 20.6% | 25.9% | 21.9% | 15.1% | 10.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 11.9% | 16.5% | 22.5% | 18.5% | 14.4% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 4.4% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 19.7% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Kelly Goodman | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 17.7% | 16.3% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 0.6% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 5.0% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 17.5% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Kathryn Cornella | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 12.6% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Orloff | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 19.0% | 18.6% | 13.6% | 3.5% |
| Ellen Suder | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 15.7% | 24.2% | 21.6% | 13.5% |
| Cheyenne Wright | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 15.5% | 28.7% | 33.0% |
| Mary Garnich | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 11.5% | 23.5% | 48.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.