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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+0.90vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+0.92vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.65+0.67vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.58+1.60vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.78-0.96vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.13-0.64vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-2.34vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-1.02-0.66vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay-0.45-2.57vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.69-1.67vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-2.03-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9Stanford University2.920.5%1st Place
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2.92University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
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3.67University of Hawaii1.650.1%1st Place
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5.6University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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5.04University of Southern California0.780.1%1st Place
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6.36University of California at Berkeley0.130.0%1st Place
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5.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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8.34University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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7.43California State University Monterey Bay-0.450.0%1st Place
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9.33University of California at San Diego-1.690.0%1st Place
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9.75University of California at Davis-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maeve White | 46.7% | 28.8% | 14.8% | 7.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 20.2% | 26.3% | 21.8% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 11.5% | 16.3% | 22.1% | 19.9% | 14.1% | 9.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 19.1% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 5.9% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Goodman | 2.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 17.7% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 6.0% | 1.2% |
| Kathryn Cornella | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Ellen Suder | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 21.7% | 22.5% | 12.8% |
| Lauren Orloff | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 19.4% | 20.7% | 12.4% | 5.1% |
| Cheyenne Wright | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 28.2% | 33.0% |
| Mary Garnich | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 12.0% | 23.8% | 47.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.