← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.06+0.80vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+0.95vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii1.65-0.32vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Irvine-1.02+3.52vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-0.15vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles0.58-1.50vs Predicted
-
8University of Southern California0.78-3.05vs Predicted
-
9California State University Monterey Bay-0.45-1.70vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Berkeley0.13-3.59vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego-1.69-1.69vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Davis-2.03-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.8Stanford University3.060.5%1st Place
-
2.95University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
-
3.68University of Hawaii1.650.1%1st Place
-
8.52University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
-
5.85Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
-
5.5University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
-
4.95University of Southern California0.780.1%1st Place
-
7.3California State University Monterey Bay-0.450.0%1st Place
-
6.41University of California at Berkeley0.130.0%1st Place
-
9.31University of California at San Diego-1.690.0%1st Place
-
9.73University of California at Davis-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 49.4% | 30.2% | 13.8% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 18.8% | 26.3% | 22.7% | 15.9% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 11.2% | 16.1% | 21.8% | 20.7% | 14.7% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Suder | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 25.0% | 22.6% | 14.9% |
| Kathryn Cornella | 4.5% | 4.1% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Wyman | 3.5% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 16.3% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 5.9% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 17.7% | 16.3% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Orloff | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 16.3% | 17.9% | 18.0% | 13.7% | 3.0% |
| Kelly Goodman | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 17.4% | 12.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Cheyenne Wright | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 15.9% | 27.6% | 32.8% |
| Mary Garnich | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 25.5% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.