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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University1.36+3.72vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.85+0.60vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois0.44+3.30vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.72-1.42vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.57-0.70vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota2.25-2.72vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.56-0.94vs Predicted
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9Marquette University0.56-2.94vs Predicted
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10Michigan Technological University-0.65-2.23vs Predicted
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11Hope College-0.35-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72Michigan State University1.360.1%1st Place
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2.6University of Wisconsin2.850.3%1st Place
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6.3University of Illinois0.440.0%1st Place
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2.58University of Wisconsin2.720.3%1st Place
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4.3Northwestern University1.570.1%1st Place
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3.28University of Minnesota2.250.2%1st Place
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6.06Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
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6.06Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
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7.77Michigan Technological University-0.650.0%1st Place
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7.4Hope College-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Weiland | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 20.7% | 18.8% | 12.4% | 5.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Fox | 27.2% | 27.1% | 20.7% | 13.7% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Flanders | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 18.0% | 24.2% | 21.7% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Boylan | 30.9% | 23.7% | 19.0% | 15.4% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Cohler | 8.3% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 9.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Thompson | 18.3% | 17.0% | 21.1% | 19.1% | 14.4% | 7.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Steven Catlin | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 13.9% | 19.9% | 21.9% | 17.7% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Steven Catlin | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 13.9% | 19.9% | 21.9% | 17.7% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Jenny Robinson | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 12.8% | 21.8% | 48.5% | 0.0% |
| Laine Klopfenstein | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 28.9% | 33.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.