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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.06+0.79vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.58+2.46vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-0.95vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.65-1.35vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.78-0.92vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-1.06vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay-0.45-0.70vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.13-2.76vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.69-0.58vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-1.02-2.69vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-2.03-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.79Stanford University3.060.5%1st Place
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5.46University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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3.05University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
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3.65University of Hawaii1.650.1%1st Place
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5.08University of Southern California0.780.1%1st Place
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5.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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7.3California State University Monterey Bay-0.450.0%1st Place
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6.24University of California at Berkeley0.130.0%1st Place
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9.42University of California at San Diego-1.690.0%1st Place
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8.31University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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9.76University of California at Davis-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 51.0% | 29.4% | 12.4% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 5.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 17.0% | 24.9% | 23.1% | 17.0% | 10.1% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 11.6% | 16.9% | 21.3% | 20.5% | 14.6% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 6.0% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Cornella | 2.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 16.5% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Lauren Orloff | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 20.4% | 19.0% | 12.1% | 4.1% |
| Kelly Goodman | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 11.9% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Cheyenne Wright | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 28.3% | 36.5% |
| Ellen Suder | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 24.9% | 23.2% | 10.8% |
| Mary Garnich | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 11.6% | 25.1% | 46.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.