← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.06+0.79vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii1.59+1.67vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+0.05vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California0.78+0.30vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Los Angeles0.58-0.43vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-1.03vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley0.13-1.71vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Davis-2.03+0.91vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Irvine-1.02-1.39vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego-0.97-2.58vs Predicted
-
12California State University Monterey Bay-0.45-4.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.79Stanford University3.060.5%1st Place
-
3.67University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
-
3.05University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
-
5.3University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
-
5.57University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
-
5.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
-
6.29University of California at Berkeley0.130.0%1st Place
-
9.91University of California at Davis-2.030.0%1st Place
-
8.61University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
-
8.42University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
-
7.41California State University Monterey Bay-0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 51.5% | 27.4% | 13.9% | 6.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 12.4% | 17.2% | 22.3% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 16.9% | 26.2% | 21.7% | 16.7% | 10.4% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 4.9% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Wyman | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 16.9% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Kathryn Cornella | 2.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Kelly Goodman | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| Mary Garnich | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 11.0% | 17.7% | 57.0% |
| Ellen Suder | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 11.8% | 18.7% | 27.5% | 18.1% |
| Erika Poynter | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 18.0% | 24.4% | 16.5% |
| Lauren Orloff | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 16.9% | 18.5% | 15.2% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.