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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.36+6.89vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+7.29vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.90+4.07vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+1.28vs Predicted
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5Princeton University1.87+3.10vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48+4.62vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College1.88-0.88vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.53-0.64vs Predicted
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9Cornell University0.36+2.69vs Predicted
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10Cornell University0.46+1.33vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.54-0.30vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.44-4.28vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.72-6.28vs Predicted
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14Washington College1.66-6.79vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.59-7.82vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.26-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89University of Wisconsin1.366.1%1st Place
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9.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.7%1st Place
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7.07Cornell University1.908.1%1st Place
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5.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1613.5%1st Place
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8.1Princeton University1.875.8%1st Place
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10.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.482.9%1st Place
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6.12SUNY Maritime College1.8811.4%1st Place
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7.36Fordham University1.537.1%1st Place
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11.69Cornell University0.362.2%1st Place
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11.33Cornell University0.462.1%1st Place
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10.7University of Vermont0.542.8%1st Place
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7.72Cornell University1.446.0%1st Place
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6.72University of Pennsylvania1.728.9%1st Place
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7.21Washington College1.667.8%1st Place
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7.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.598.1%1st Place
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11.73University of Michigan0.262.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Weston | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 5.6% |
| Lilly Myers | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Will Murray | 13.5% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Connor Mraz | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% |
| Patrick Modin | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.3% |
| Spencer Barnes | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Michael Burns | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Ben Rizika | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 19.4% |
| Aidan Lane | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 17.7% |
| Luke Quine | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 12.4% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Isabel Dziuba | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.