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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.50+1.25vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.65+1.44vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-0.07vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38+0.95vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.78-0.93vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.58-1.53vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.13-1.86vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-1.02-0.68vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.03-0.19vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.69-1.66vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay-0.45-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Stanford University2.500.4%1st Place
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3.44University of Hawaii1.650.2%1st Place
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2.93University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
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5.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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5.07University of Southern California0.780.1%1st Place
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5.47University of California at Los Angeles0.580.1%1st Place
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6.14University of California at Berkeley0.130.0%1st Place
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8.32University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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9.81University of California at Davis-2.030.0%1st Place
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9.34University of California at San Diego-1.690.0%1st Place
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7.27California State University Monterey Bay-0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holly Tullo | 36.9% | 27.7% | 17.4% | 11.9% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 16.9% | 18.0% | 21.1% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 21.2% | 24.7% | 21.8% | 14.7% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Cornella | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 17.6% | 16.9% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 6.8% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Wyman | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Kelly Goodman | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 10.6% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Ellen Suder | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 23.1% | 22.9% | 12.1% |
| Mary Garnich | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 12.1% | 23.2% | 49.7% |
| Cheyenne Wright | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 29.6% | 32.5% |
| Lauren Orloff | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 18.9% | 20.2% | 11.9% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.