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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.50+1.25vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.65+1.44vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-0.04vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.58+1.62vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-0.18vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.13-0.66vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay-0.45-0.74vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.69+0.29vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.03-0.17vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-1.02-2.70vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California0.78-7.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Stanford University2.500.4%1st Place
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3.44University of Hawaii1.650.2%1st Place
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2.96University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
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5.62University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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5.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.1%1st Place
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6.34University of California at Berkeley0.130.0%1st Place
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7.26California State University Monterey Bay-0.450.0%1st Place
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9.29University of California at San Diego-1.690.0%1st Place
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9.83University of California at Davis-2.030.0%1st Place
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8.3University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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4.9University of Southern California0.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holly Tullo | 38.5% | 25.3% | 17.6% | 12.5% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 16.2% | 18.1% | 21.7% | 16.9% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 20.9% | 24.8% | 20.5% | 16.4% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 18.0% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Kathryn Cornella | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Kelly Goodman | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 17.5% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 5.7% | 1.2% |
| Lauren Orloff | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 18.8% | 11.9% | 4.2% |
| Cheyenne Wright | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 15.1% | 30.6% | 30.7% |
| Mary Garnich | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 12.0% | 21.7% | 51.9% |
| Ellen Suder | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 16.3% | 23.7% | 22.9% | 11.1% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.