← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin2.85+1.47vs Predicted
-
2Northwestern University1.57+2.60vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin2.72-0.35vs Predicted
-
4Michigan State University1.36+0.63vs Predicted
-
5Marquette University0.56+0.96vs Predicted
-
6University of Minnesota2.25-2.73vs Predicted
-
8University of Illinois0.44-1.71vs Predicted
-
9Hope College-0.35-1.62vs Predicted
-
10Marquette University0.56-4.04vs Predicted
-
11Michigan Technological University-0.65-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.47University of Wisconsin2.850.3%1st Place
-
4.6Northwestern University1.570.1%1st Place
-
2.65University of Wisconsin2.720.3%1st Place
-
4.63Michigan State University1.360.1%1st Place
-
5.96Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
-
3.27University of Minnesota2.250.2%1st Place
-
6.29University of Illinois0.440.0%1st Place
-
7.38Hope College-0.350.0%1st Place
-
5.96Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
-
7.75Michigan Technological University-0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Fox | 31.7% | 26.4% | 19.8% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Cohler | 6.3% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 17.4% | 21.2% | 16.7% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Boylan | 28.0% | 25.6% | 18.9% | 14.1% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 7.6% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 17.4% | 18.3% | 17.5% | 13.3% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Steven Catlin | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 18.2% | 19.6% | 17.8% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Thompson | 17.0% | 20.0% | 22.4% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Flanders | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 19.2% | 25.2% | 19.6% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Laine Klopfenstein | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 30.0% | 32.1% | 0.0% |
| Steven Catlin | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 18.2% | 19.6% | 17.8% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Jenny Robinson | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 12.8% | 22.8% | 47.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.