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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.61+4.88vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.75+3.52vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.70+6.48vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.24+7.79vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+3.08vs Predicted
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62.13+3.73vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.42-0.62vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.56-0.44vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.29-0.19vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.16+0.55vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.56+0.12vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-0.75vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University-1.38-2.34vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.21-4.21vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University1.37-3.75vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.48-4.42vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.08-6.83vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.44-6.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.88Stanford University2.6111.7%1st Place
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5.52Dartmouth College2.7514.3%1st Place
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9.48Cornell University1.705.7%1st Place
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11.79George Washington University1.242.6%1st Place
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8.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.036.1%1st Place
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9.732.133.9%1st Place
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6.38Yale University2.4210.9%1st Place
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7.56Boston College2.567.4%1st Place
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8.81Brown University2.295.5%1st Place
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10.55U. S. Naval Academy2.164.0%1st Place
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11.12University of Pennsylvania1.562.8%1st Place
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11.25St. Mary's College of Maryland1.353.0%1st Place
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10.66Jacksonville University-1.383.2%1st Place
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9.79Tulane University2.215.1%1st Place
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11.25Georgetown University1.373.5%1st Place
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11.58Bowdoin College1.483.2%1st Place
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10.17Harvard University2.083.8%1st Place
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11.4Old Dominion University1.443.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 14.3% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 12.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% |
| Dana Haig | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Belda | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% |
| Amanda Majernik | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% |
| Emily Allen | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.