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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.29+7.94vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.61+3.95vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.42+3.35vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.21+5.82vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.75+0.69vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-1.38+4.70vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.08+3.17vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+3.32vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.48+2.60vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.16+0.69vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.56-3.44vs Predicted
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122.13-2.50vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.70-3.65vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University1.37-2.82vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.56-3.93vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-7.84vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.44-5.71vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.24-6.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.94Brown University2.296.3%1st Place
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5.95Stanford University2.6111.1%1st Place
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6.35Yale University2.4211.6%1st Place
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9.82Tulane University2.214.7%1st Place
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5.69Dartmouth College2.7512.7%1st Place
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10.7Jacksonville University-1.383.5%1st Place
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10.17Harvard University2.084.0%1st Place
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11.32St. Mary's College of Maryland1.353.1%1st Place
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11.6Bowdoin College1.482.7%1st Place
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10.69U. S. Naval Academy2.163.6%1st Place
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7.56Boston College2.568.2%1st Place
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9.52.135.4%1st Place
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9.35Cornell University1.704.7%1st Place
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11.18Georgetown University1.373.6%1st Place
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11.07University of Pennsylvania1.563.2%1st Place
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8.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.036.3%1st Place
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11.29Old Dominion University1.442.8%1st Place
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11.65George Washington University1.242.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.7% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 13.2% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Dana Haig | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% |
| Amanda Majernik | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.